TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07cb…743c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT11357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Twinsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$502
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$119.44
Pirates vs. Marinersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$188
Pirates vs. Marinersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$75.73
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$191.4
Orioles vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$748.96
Red Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$300.53
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,311
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,213.36
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$209.23
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,026.84
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$188.73
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,699
Reds vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$219.93
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$277.71
Royals vs. Marinersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,010.03
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$941.91
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,250
Tigers vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$65.68
Twins vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,005.63
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,403
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT5230.8%16 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+106.2%+$679.78
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.38
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+400%+$154.84
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,454Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+202.5%+$2,942.98
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+53.3%+$1,200.34
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$628.74
Over 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$326
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,644Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+116.7%+$3,085.08
Over 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$861
Over 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.82
Over 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$951
Over 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$902
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,636.69
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,030
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$228
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$224
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$157
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$916.4
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,682Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+198%+$3,331.25
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.28
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+81.4%+$4,184.63
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,073Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+97.6%+$2,022.8
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+67.9%+$231.91
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.73
Wimbledon: Noskova vs. Anisimova (W) backed Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$457.16
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Alcaraz backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.86
Wimbledon: Kartal vs. Pavlyuchenkova (W) backed Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+102.7%+$90.79
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonegobacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,750.19
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Munar backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,705Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+51.2%+$872.9
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Holmgrenbacked Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.98
Wimbledon: Krejcikova vs. Navarro (W) backed Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,100
Wimbledon: Sonmez vs. Alexandrova (W) backed Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,959.13
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Cocciaretto (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$281.24
Wimbledon: Tauson vs. Rybakina (W) backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+274.4%+$2,743.53
Wimbledon: Borges vs. Khachanovbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Wimbledon: Mertens vs. Svitolina (W) backed Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+186.3%+$1,781.63
Wimbledon: Fucsovics vs. Monfilsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+176.3%+$3,792.59
Wimbledon: Ofner vs. Paul backed Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,724Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$2,084.16
Wimbledon: Draper vs. Cilic backed Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,553
Wimbledon: Holmgren vs. Machacbacked Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,549Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+170.7%+$4,351.51
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. McNally (W) backed McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500.42
Wimbledon: Dimitrov vs. Moutetbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,739Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+65.5%+$1,139.4
Wimbledon: Auger-Aliassime vs. Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$3,528.67
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Pinnington Jonesbacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$341
Wimbledon: Munar vs. Bublik backed Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+114.8%+$337.63
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo backed Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,959.81
Wimbledon: Lehecka vs. Belluccibacked Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,785Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$656.18
Wimbledon: Paolini vs. Rakhimova (W) backed Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+418.4%+$2,778.94
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valkyries vs Dreambacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$536.96
Sky vs Lynxbacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$329.05
Storm vs Libertybacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+110.1%+$210.33
Sparks vs Feverbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+176.5%+$5,653.21
Fever vs Lynxbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+406.8%+$3,254.01
Storm vs Valkyriesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.08
Aces vs Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+141.8%+$711.77
Sky vs Sparksbacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+130.8%+$857.73
Mystics vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$289.23
Sky vs Valkyriesbacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.72
Lynx vs Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.55
Sparks vs Acesbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+36%+$231.49
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,955Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$1,249.75
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.66
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$143.83
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.55
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.36
Lightning vs. Rangersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.35
All 7 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$163
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.