WNBA · resolved market
Sky vs Sparks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e9e4d17dcbb71a0ec0ff90f0ab535b1a1050216ca79282c7274cfb2862d3525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skyof Sky, Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sparks | 53c | 8,234$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.68 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 25c | 4,025$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.39 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Sky | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sky | 54c | 3,265$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.71 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Sky | 59c | 2,271$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sparks | 75c | 2,018$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.42 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sparks | 75c | 1,775$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.78 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…94f3backed Sparks | 75c | 1,692$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Sky | 43c | 1,514$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Sparks | 43c | 1,333$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.65 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Sparks | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Sparks | 62c | 1,000$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Sparks | 56c | 975.42$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.34 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sky | 55c | 968$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.55 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sparks | 38c | 859.7$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.35 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Sky | 25c | 683.93$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sky | 25c | 614$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.5 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sky | 24c | 599.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Sparks | 50c | 450.71$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sky | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…4881backed Sparks | 68c | 310.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sky | 39c | 305$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Sparks | 62c | 222$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sky | 37c | 208.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sky | 70c | 182.58$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Sparks | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ba…1f30backed Sparks | 76c | 174.96$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sparks | 73c | 139.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Sparks | 76c | 124$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Sparks | 77c | 117$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Sparks | 15c | 107.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Sparks | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Sparks | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Sky | 72c | 85.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Sparks | 76c | 73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Sky | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sky | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Sparks | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sparks | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Sparks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Sparks | 70c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Sparks | 76c | 17.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Sparks | 61c | 17.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…c530backed Sparks | 76c | 15.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.