TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa910…0777

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3363.6%21 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$131.25
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$140.09
First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Colombiabacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$80.1
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.33
Rockies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Tigers vs. Nationalsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.32
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$15.64
Mariners vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$26.7
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Phillies vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Blue Jays vs. Guardiansbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$14
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Phillies vs. Astrosbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.73
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$927Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+735.8%+$6,820.52
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.42
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.61
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$85
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.51
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.04
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$173.94
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$337.39
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$362.81
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.48
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.87
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$150.75
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.75
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$298
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$139.76
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.01
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$147.54
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$160
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.39
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$15.46
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$34
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Luke Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.07
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$104.36
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$117.06
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Limabacked Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$118
UFC 317: Hermansson vs. Rodriguesbacked Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$64
UFC 317: Amil vs. Delgadobacked Amil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
UFC 317: Araujo vs. Cortezbacked Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
UFC 317: McKinney vs. Borshchevbacked McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$191.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300.2%+$150.11
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$82.27
Will PSG vs. Real Madrid end in a draw after regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
PSG vs. Real Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$60.8
Dortmund vs. Monterrey: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$69
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$47.6
Manchester City vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$43.5
Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
PSG vs. Inter Miami: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$68.98
Will Al Hilal beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Atlético Madrid beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$45.8
PSG vs. Seattle Sounders: 4+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Orlando Magic vs. Miami Heatbacked Orlando Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$49.31
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$35.79
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$52.25
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
1H Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$136.26
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-63.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Cap Cana: Mackenzie McDonald vs Martin Landalucebacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Wimbledon: Sonego vs. Basilashvilibacked Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Wimbledon: Draper vs. Cilic backed Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$217
Wimbledon: Dimitrov vs. Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.99
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$78
Wimbledon: Mochizuki vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+106%+$113.2
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Bolt backed Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Wimbledon: Rinderknech vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$117.48
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$761.54
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.88
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.24
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$45.65
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$96.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$143.22
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+142.3%+$71.17
First Blood in Game 2?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$48.1
MSI Playoffs: Anyone's Legend vs. FlyQuestbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$96
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+285.6%+$114.22
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.38
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$107.13
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$127.07
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Paper Rex win the 2025 VALORANT Masters Toronto Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$58.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Sharks (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.04
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$149.13
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.59
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.92
Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.79
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Vitalitybacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will FaZe win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.