TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Colombia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colombiaof Panama, Colombia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,892 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Panama58c16,801$9,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,708.625442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f4…a99fbacked Panama0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Colombia41c7,771$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,585.9323351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colombia41c3,752$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.3846547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Colombia43c3,255$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.464555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Panama17c3,083$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.23250%16 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+59%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Panama1c2,764$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.723929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Panama60c2,518$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Colombia44c2,518$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.0140846.1%188 W · 220 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Panama57c1,985$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.4120548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Panama57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.993060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x285f…2c03backed Colombia43c1,257$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panama42c1,062$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.0485135.8%305 W · 546 L-23.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x839b…16b8backed Panama61c1,009$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6131560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Colombia47c955$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…61fcbacked Panama34c835.04$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Panama60c822.73$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.054459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Colombia41c805.43$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.1516135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Panama57c735$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9523036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Panama14c725.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Colombia43c720.18$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.1850751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Colombia45c705.03$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.214540%18 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9162…162cbacked Panama60c702.47$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Colombia40c685.65$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.392231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panama11c602.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.361,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b25…ef0fbacked Panama62c580.55$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.111010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Colombia47c558.66$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.1811555.7%64 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked Panama3c553.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-8.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Panama53c552.81$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Panama18c531$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.696,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Panama11c502.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.791,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Panama24c486.77$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick25cpaid+187%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Colombia43c464$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.482254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Colombia69c436.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Colombia42c420.55$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.726145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Colombia41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Panama15c380.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1578146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Colombia42c374.04$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.941338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Colombia43c347.82$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8218048.3%87 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0809…b2f4backed Panama59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Panama68c323$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0814251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Colombia56c290$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.95887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick48cpaid+64.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Colombia43c279.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.181850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Colombia39c275.91$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4621842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe300…8b9ebacked Panama35c246.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Panama58c245.38$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3266448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colombia65c242.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.842,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Colombia41c216.32$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.631637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Panama22c214.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.931,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Colombia42c205.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4644348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9d…8498backed Colombia41c204.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Panama33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Colombia41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Panama49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Panama40c195.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.413928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Colombia40c187.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.911,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Colombia59c187$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5431038.4%119 W · 191 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Colombia42c178.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Colombia46c169.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.877050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panama25c169.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Panama24c158$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.925944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Panama48c153.75$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.479346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Panama14c147.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.982924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Colombia72c143.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6244745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Colombia42c140$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7565651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Panama58c138.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0534264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Colombia42c138.1$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.13363.6%21 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Colombia41c132.07$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.922259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Colombia38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5847345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Colombia45c130.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.391,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Colombia42c129.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db8…bbcebacked Colombia46c129.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4662…1d65backed Colombia42c125.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.574736.2%17 W · 30 L-9.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-35.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Panama62c123$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.668644.2%38 W · 48 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Colombia42c120.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3550949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Colombia46c112.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.932152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Panama65c108.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019153.9%103 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Panama49c105$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.455248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colombia66c104.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.464,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Colombia10c102.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.492334.8%8 W · 15 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick11cpaid+228.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Colombia14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864714.9%7 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Panama54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Panama25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18d…9863backed Panama61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a38…ada9backed Panama65c99.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Colombia42c95.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.182846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Panama30c95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4810353.4%55 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa474…073ebacked Panama59c91.42$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.941952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Colombia41c90$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Colombia29c89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6377752.1%405 W · 372 L+36.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcabc…46f4backed Panama59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Colombia36c83.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.381145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Colombia64c81.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.031,72250.3%867 W · 855 L+55.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Panama37c81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.291,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Colombia41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3f…13bbbacked Panama65c70.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Colombia41c69.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.83540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Colombia42c68.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colombia42c67.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Colombia70c64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.987750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.