TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbd36…6ec9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT5752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,928.78
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,057.23
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$313.29
Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,147.68
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,929Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,558.51
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$934.46
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,023Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$1,395.62
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,301.64
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,777.23
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12,665Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3,999.58
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$104.28
Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,719Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$5,589.88
Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$108.16
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.52
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$431.51
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$284.02
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$781.98
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13,403Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11,417.53
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,455.54
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,145.18
BYU Cougars vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$8,981Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$4,837.95
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$503.54
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,356.85
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,205.71
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT5044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,079.3
Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.03
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,182.41
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,506.09
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,086.36
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,507.5
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34,861Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$8,715.32
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,075
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$1,124.77
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,337.83
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,984
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$373.61
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,248.31
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,082Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9,306.61
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.75
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,371Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15,998.01
Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,678Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$4,073.11
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42,953Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$46,532.91
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,319.99
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.73
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.1
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$291.53
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19,715Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16,136.35
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.6
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,639.02
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.28
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,970
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,970
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.61
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,176
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,755.9
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,395.2
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.28
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,130.7
Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,350
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,339.14
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$1,331.85
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,009
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,154
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,210.17
Capitals vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$512.55
Oilers vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,931Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$3,218.03
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$38
Capitals vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$250.96
Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$300.08
Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$3,467.1
Utah vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,031.64
Utah vs. Wildbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,929.19
Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$399.6
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,078Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$1,825.62
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.82
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13,706Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.9%+$23,421.06
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$241.4
New York Mets vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,648Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$3,127.26
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,315.76
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.2
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,135.11
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.59
New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$564.74
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$895.44
Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$354
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.65
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.backed Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.9
First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+258.8%+$1,357.17
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+1,020.3%+$7,088.11
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,865Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+196.7%+$3,668.22
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israelbacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35,889Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$56,178.81
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexicobacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,528.66
First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Colombiabacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$264.48
First Round Pool B: Great Britain vs. Brazilbacked Great Britain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$149.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Shanelle Dyer vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Shanelle Dyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$44.97
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.61
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13,765Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$6,391.58
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,050
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66,899.64
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oumar Sy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,884.96
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$6,944.07
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Steven Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,888.58
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.53
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Elijah Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,735Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,757.87
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Manoel Sousa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20,862Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8,112.98
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Eryk Anders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$113.73
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hecher Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,087Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$507.5
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$489.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joventut vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.9
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,048.42
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.8
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.44
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,405.71
All 5 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta United FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$41.38
Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$167.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$517.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,398Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,900.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$502.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$505.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$792.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.