Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb0f0336897ceda12f986ee67cf68b2a2bd39414dd650dcddea89fec856bdefb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,926 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 66c | 3,806$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.96 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 3,302$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.5 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 61c | 2,090$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed No | 61c | 1,300$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 1,090$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.29 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 38c | 934.21$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 837.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 657.59$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 39c | 506.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 74c | 498.34$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 62c | 370.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 62c | 361.48$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 304.3$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.83 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 39c | 260.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 36c | 208$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…8d4cbacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 75c | 199.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked No | 65c | 199.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 39c | 169.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 26c | 162.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 62c | 151.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed No | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed No | 64c | 118.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…2ae0backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…80aebacked Yes | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 86.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 83.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 39c | 75.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed No | 66c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 52c | 51.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 62c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 74c | 41.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Yes | 36c | 37.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 64c | 36.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 76c | 35.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 60c | 31.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 45c | 29.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 63c | 22.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked No | 63c | 20.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 18.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.