Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644912ee3371f2ba76417583c464e9a1132ddc120c3c3c4211fe648f20c10bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,908 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 55c | 22,000$12,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,099.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Under | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 45c | 12,283$5,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,759.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 55c | 10,822$5,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,952.07 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Over | 45c | 9,707$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,338.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 45c | 6,676$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.22 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Over | 45c | 5,145$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 46c | 4,913$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.94 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…3478backed Over | 45c | 3,853$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 44c | 3,177$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.17 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 45c | 2,626$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 45c | 2,602$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 47c | 2,229$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…599fbacked Over | 45c | 1,562$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,418$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.84 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…6409backed Over | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…b3a2backed Over | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 45c | 1,272$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.87 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 34c | 1,149$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 46c | 1,109$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 915$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 57c | 883.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.46 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 70c | 806.57$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.97 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 43c | 697$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.07 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 45c | 662$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.1 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 617.46$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.69 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 51c | 605$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Under | 51c | 587.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 52c | 566.46$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 43c | 558.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.14 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 512.22$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.07 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 44c | 511.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.72 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 7c | 508.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 43c | 502.33$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.33 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Under | 55c | 450$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 49c | 399.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.12 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 387.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 380.29$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.16 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Under | 56c | 357$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 71c | 351.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 45c | 320.48$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.26 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 71c | 283.1$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 57c | 273.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 45c | 268.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 266.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 217.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…66f7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 186.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…722bbacked Over | 45c | 169.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 47c | 160.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 44c | 154$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…d292backed Over | 50c | 128.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 32c | 121.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 44c | 119.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 56c | 113.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 44c | 106.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 63c | 106.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 45c | 104.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 27c | 93.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 89.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 55c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…56b8backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…58f5backed Under | 56c | 86.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3f…a5b2backed Under | 56c | 84.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 71c | 74.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 56c | 66.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 45c | 66.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf88…22cbbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 44c | 65.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 42c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Under | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 45c | 55.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Under | 57c | 50.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5this page
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.