TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,908 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Under55c22,000$12,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,099.733348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Under55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.97650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over45c12,283$5,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,759.361250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over45c11,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under55c10,822$5,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,952.075550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Over45c9,707$4,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,338.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over45c6,676$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,671.531833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under55c5,555$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.227444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Over45c5,145$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under46c4,913$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.946839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c8…3478backed Over45c3,853$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over44c3,177$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.178743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over45c2,626$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.32161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over45c2,602$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.222445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under47c2,229$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f15…599fbacked Over45c1,562$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c1,418$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.152,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under56c1,339$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.846659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9618…6409backed Over45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Over45c1,289$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under45c1,272$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.876924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under34c1,149$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.431421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over46c1,109$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.71752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.418033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under52c915$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.82951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over57c883.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.463158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over70c806.57$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.973250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over43c697$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0712452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over45c662$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.122348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c617.46$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6926040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under51c605$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.552650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Under51c587.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under52c566.46$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.561241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over43c558.14$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.149154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c512.22$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over44c511.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7211349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under7c508.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over43c502.33$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3311348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Under55c450$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over49c399.94$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c387.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.071,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under55c380.29$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1633148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Under56c357$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over71c351.74$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7417058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over45c320.48$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.269937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712688.5%23 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over71c283.1$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.15945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under57c273.68$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over45c268.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.021861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c266.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5915648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c217.01$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.23938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29ed…66f7backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over44c186.57$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3413445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67fc…722bbacked Over45c169.49$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.221163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under47c160.82$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over44c154$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.229353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.996960.9%42 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d292backed Over50c128.01$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under32c121.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2611136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over44c119.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.197740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under56c113.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.72040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.117950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over45c110.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.872839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over44c106.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8638547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…7f3fbacked Over63c106.35$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over45c104.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5034553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under27c93.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2316340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under55c89.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9346047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under55c88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.999857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f72…56b8backed Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d9…58f5backed Under56c86.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.271040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3f…a5b2backed Under56c84.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.43666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over69c81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.113357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under44c79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.928357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over71c74.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.618965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Under56c66.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.251450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over45c66.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.524751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf88…22cbbacked Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over44c65.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.414548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under42c63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3410759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Under56c59.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1410566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.566035%21 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over45c55.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.541050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Over45c53.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+50.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc82…c7c5backed Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Under57c50.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.