TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff89…9c06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT5846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.36
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$50.05
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$46.27
Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.23
SHL: Vaexjoe vs. Roeglebacked Vaexjoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
SHL: Roegle vs. Vaexjoebacked Vaexjoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+300.8%+$78.2
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Senators vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Wild vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.55
Senators vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
SHL: Vaexjoe vs. Roeglebacked Vaexjoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$56.6
Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$81.59
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.54
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.77
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$81.58
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.19
Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$29.64
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.84
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.73
Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$42.03
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.31
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.33
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.35
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.22
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$37.08
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$60.1
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.08
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$73.26
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
US Cremonese vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.01
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.38
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.86
Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$69.29
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.86
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$34.22
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.54
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.9
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.26
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$56.48
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.77
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.43
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$35.9
Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$112.73
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.62
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.06
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$127.28
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$44.42
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$35.94
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.81
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$45.9
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$29.28
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$62.38
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.82
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$44.64
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.27
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$69.4
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$32.34
FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.99
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$66.42
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.18
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$56.14
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.15
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
AS Monaco FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$13.24
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.06
Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.01
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.38
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$37.46
FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$80.59
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.29
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$40.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$149.46
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.62
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$53.54
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.91
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$36.36
AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.94
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.54
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$20.08
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$70.7
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$45.36
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$40.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Pavel Kotovbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Alcaraz vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Madrid: Zdenek Kolar vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.27
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.31
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.51
Barletta: Sumit Nagal vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$52.94
Split: Lukas Neumayer vs Juan Martinbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.