Champions League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd826d1f378d65679cddcd01c4220404b86d46b5b509c45373ae6dcf890c77eb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 58c | 1,264$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.66 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 45c | 1,241$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.75 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Over | 55c | 1,005$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.66 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 45c | 899.92$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.96 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Over | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 49c | 450.9$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 438.79$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.8 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 431.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 50c | 351.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 50c | 298.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.09 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 296.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.41 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 47c | 280.86$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 42c | 275.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed Under | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 209.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 202.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Over | 50c | 192.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 55c | 159.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…0a97backed Under | 45c | 148.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 51c | 147.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Over | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 50c | 91.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Over | 53c | 91.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5863…04dbbacked Over | 51c | 87.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…516abacked Under | 50c | 84.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +136%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Under | 50c | 58.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked Over | 50c | 53.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…d025backed Over | 57c | 41.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…dcd9backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Over | 51c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…16e5backed Under | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…8b93backed Over | 51c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 52c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.