TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8e79…9076

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
543
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT41339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 413 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$107.48
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
France vs. England: France O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Rayan Cherki: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$82.06
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: England (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 413 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53.56
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$21.15
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.93
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$61.82
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$16.54
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.36
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$108.31
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$64.76
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$142.52
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.17
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$63.18
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$35.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$36.87
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.02
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$38.22
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$45.19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.98
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.38
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.83
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$79.22
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$18.72
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.47
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.53
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.41
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.