TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-05-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes9c13,024$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.02238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid-43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes18c12,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16012832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1423…bee3backed Yes19c11,512$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes23c5,721$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.941338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No80c5,111$4,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes18c4,200$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75626022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes18c3,612$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.148124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes15c3,016$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.864219%8 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes23c2,912$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6606119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes19c2,535$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.691827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes19c2,450$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.511226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No77c2,016$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.721,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes18c1,852$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.331618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes19c1,494$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5827644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa739…c23dbacked Yes16c1,481$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+176.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes2c1,473$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4619250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes17c1,400$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.991225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes16c1,293$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24023461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed No77c1,200$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes12c1,195$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.854537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x447e…ba40backed Yes18c1,132$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3750%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yes24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7162…b33fbacked Yes6c855.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5479…65ddbacked Yes19c764.26$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9112…c8bbbacked Yes13c617.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes11c597.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.545234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes19c578.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes21c556.11$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4287…666ebacked Yes19c511.37$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.16540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-31%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes20c500.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011674.1%86 W · 30 L+18.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510768.2%73 W · 34 L+15.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958117.3%14 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85e7…c9d2backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedc…2173backed No77c399.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes22c362.73$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes17c357.65$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5427846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes5c338.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.515123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No74c300$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7912633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602532%8 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdba4…1528backed Yes17c297.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f4…fa45backed Yes26c295.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed Yes17c294.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Yes18c269.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2952…97b0backed Yes16c249.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7599…4293backed Yes23c217.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes20c214.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.891668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes13c209.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285525.5%14 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Yes19c204.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6420…deb1backed Yes19c203.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No79c199.54$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x553e…6e19backed Yes18c188.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes9c180.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6579532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes20c180$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…860dbacked Yes24c169.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x679f…feabbacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes24c163.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+84.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…e97cbacked Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes18c155.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No74c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.758733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Yes17c149.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes20c147.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0816013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes16c138.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.121947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes26c127.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.174141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes15c126.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.992536%9 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…ed50backed Yes17c125.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes24c120.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81e8…7d50backed Yes21c114.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x303e…96ffbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed No77c110.43$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes22c109.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.223145.2%14 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Yes23c109.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes18c105.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Yes24c105.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7609…4094backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x387d…d7cfbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a60…1c0dbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d2…3d16backed Yes24c104.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes15c99.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab56…f98fbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick38cpaid+58.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ec7…4f0ebacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes22c90.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes15c84.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9311749.6%58 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc197…3977backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.