TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0b9…08b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 63 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT7638.2%29 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+64%+$238.65
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+76%+$227.98
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$235.36
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,061.07
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,975
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$995
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$789.45
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,090.91
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.03
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.43
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.67
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.53
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.08
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$113.13
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.49
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Lakers (-17.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$108.45
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,247.03
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Spread: United States (-2.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.49per pick13cpaid+552.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+91.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+205.8%+$55.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.