Spread: Scotland (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa17daa2f29c5c861bd83fc4212965d134e202d2d8ee303efa2ed43461ca40985

Rebuilt 49 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Haitiof Scotland, Haiti
Resolved: Jun 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $991,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,000,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $991,207 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 771 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Haiti	61c	125,781$76,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,343.3	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Scotland	39c	91,923$35,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,845.75	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Haiti	62c	76,856$47,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,190.07	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Haiti	64c	73,000$46,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,279.9	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Haiti	63c	71,094$44,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,293.89	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Scotland	38c	68,796$26,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,230.58	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Haiti	61c	61,465$37,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,848.85	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Scotland	39c	39,724$15,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,321.53	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a47…0c54backed Scotland	40c	30,250$12,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,100	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Scotland	40c	25,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9744…4789backed Scotland	38c	21,121$8,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,026.06	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Scotland	30c	20,728$6,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,320.1	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Haiti	60c	18,000$10,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,200	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Scotland	39c	17,061$6,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,590.39	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Scotland	39c	14,146$5,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,584.95	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Haiti	60c	14,132$8,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,646.93	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Scotland	39c	13,635$5,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,290.4	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf91…92bdbacked Scotland	36c	13,580$4,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,908.97	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Scotland	35c	12,898$4,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,510.88	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19de…e917backed Scotland	40c	10,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	+21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Scotland	39c	10,000$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,899.98	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Scotland	40c	8,714$3,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,485.74	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Haiti	62c	7,508$4,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,872.94	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…2411backed Scotland	40c	6,250$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Haiti	62c	5,997$3,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,269.21	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Scotland	37c	5,801$2,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,146.26	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Scotland	35c	5,525$1,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,933.66	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Haiti	65c	5,099$3,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,776.62	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-8.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Scotland	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Haiti	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,999.99	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Haiti	61c	4,918$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,918.03	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Scotland	40c	4,603$1,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,841.13	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Scotland	31c	4,560$1,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.39	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Haiti	62c	4,362$2,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,672.5	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Scotland	40c	4,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Haiti	60c	4,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Scotland	37c	3,822$1,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,423.27	175	44%77 W · 98 L	+9.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Scotland	40c	3,750$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Scotland	37c	3,740$1,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,383.8	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Scotland	23c	3,704$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.51	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Haiti	60c	3,549$2,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,414.15	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Haiti	60c	3,500$2,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,395	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Scotland	38c	3,499$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.79	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f3…6d7fbacked Scotland	37c	3,425$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Haiti	62c	3,272$2,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.71	142	31.7%45 W · 97 L	-13.4wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Haiti	61c	3,188$1,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,230.85	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Scotland	37c	3,171$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.27	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Haiti	63c	3,170$2,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,167.35	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Haiti	61c	3,115$1,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,213.75	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaac9…1a8dbacked Scotland	40c	3,113$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Haiti	61c	3,020$1,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188.58	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Scotland	8c	3,015$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.8	168	33.9%57 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Haiti	60c	3,000$1,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,195	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Haiti	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Scotland	37c	3,000$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.98	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Haiti	61c	2,988$1,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,165.31	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Haiti	65c	2,942$1,912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029.69	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2a…267ebacked Haiti	62c	2,760$1,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,048.92	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae41…3b31backed Scotland	38c	2,651$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Scotland	26c	2,577$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.44	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Scotland	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Scotland	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Scotland	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Haiti	61c	2,500$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$969.99	166	47.6%79 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Scotland	40c	2,449$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Haiti	61c	2,396$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.9	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Scotland	39c	2,376$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.79	144	63.2%91 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…f2e4backed Scotland	2c	2,338$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Haiti	60c	2,322$1,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.69	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Scotland	40c	2,200$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+71.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Haiti	63c	2,129$1,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.62	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Haiti	79c	2,064$1,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.15	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Scotland	40c	2,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Scotland	35c	2,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Haiti	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Haiti	61c	2,000$1,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Scotland	39c	2,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.98	87	31%27 W · 60 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Scotland	38c	2,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.98	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f67…a882backed Haiti	54c	1,969$1,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900.2	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Scotland	40c	1,871$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.26	250	31.6%79 W · 171 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d60…c4cfbacked Scotland	37c	1,832$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.91	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	48cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Haiti	60c	1,666$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.4	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Scotland	37c	1,655$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.35	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Haiti	61c	1,640$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.6	255	37.6%96 W · 159 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Haiti	60c	1,600$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Scotland	39c	1,558$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.54	176	29%51 W · 125 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Scotland	40c	1,515$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.17	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Scotland	39c	1,500$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Haiti	63c	1,500$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.99	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045c…3977backed Scotland	33c	1,497$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.64	54	22.2%12 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Haiti	67c	1,493$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.54	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Scotland	37c	1,438$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.97	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Haiti	61c	1,431$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.68	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-9.7wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x57ad…698bbacked Haiti	61c	1,426$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.23	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Haiti	54c	1,425$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655.66	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Scotland	36c	1,389$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Scotland	37c	1,351$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Scotland	40c	1,308$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.26	200	53%106 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Scotland	40c	1,300$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	144	40.3%58 W · 86 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Haiti	62c	1,285$796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.01	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Scotland (-1.5)this page
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5Over won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Scotland won
Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Scotland won
Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Haiti won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Scotland (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event