Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaea1e78dd722ecd8b9b6159cb766b7fbb88b882e4a2b67b7c10374754525b758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 37c | 3,514$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.43 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 15c | 3,348$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.2 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 9c | 3,103$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 72c | 1,800$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.19 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 46c | 971.8$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.27 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Under | 52c | 955.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Under | 60c | 871.2$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.2 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 15c | 829$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over | 13c | 754.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 14c | 597.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 15c | 575.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 11c | 477.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 9c | 321.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 52c | 275.02$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Under | 61c | 239.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 11c | 234.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 9c | 213$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 11c | 208$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…35f7backed Under | 55c | 181.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +6.6wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 15c | 140.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Under | 72c | 138.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 10c | 134.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 11c | 128$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…ef83backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Under | 57c | 109$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Over | 10c | 104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Over | 22c | 100.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…ac9abacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…d89abacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 15c | 88.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over | 23c | 58.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Under | 54c | 53.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Under | 62c | 45.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 79c | 34.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 32.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.