TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,400 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under52c3,118$1,635 inWon+$1,483.373956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c3,000$1,468 inLost-$1,4681,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c490.76$251 inWon+$240.162,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c490$250 inWon+$240.13,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over43c450$196 inLost-$195.6319838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over49c450$221 inLost-$220.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over49c450$221 inLost-$220.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over5c446.93$24 inLost-$24.22,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under51c277.23$141 inWon+$135.849450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost-$10017218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under62c263.16$163 inWon+$10018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over6c249.99$15 inLost-$15.2543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over6c207.38$12 inLost-$12.031,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over6c172.16$10 inLost-$10.3326537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Over14c111.31$15 inLost-$15.0535619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.