TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c14,323$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.993,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over39c3,688$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.032,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c3,658$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c3,562$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.2286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over73c2,645$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.663,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under63c1,885$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.3270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Under26c1,513$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.221656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under60c1,400$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5604946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over36c1,388$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.682,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under74c1,236$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.419233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over37c1,173$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.832,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over24c999.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under61c999.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9933149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under61c993.88$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Under32c950.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.872740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over44c924.37$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.942,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over32c901.21$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.084,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over30c632.49$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.142,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over16c631$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over15c626$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.935658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c573.76$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under75c569.61$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.194,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over40c525$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.561,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under63c460.45$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.978243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over40c450$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8419838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over40c450$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18019039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over40c450$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9219039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over7c433.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f34…b8f2backed Over38c413.66$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.192128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c389.48$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.91,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over4c376.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.546012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…fab1backed Under27c346.3$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under62c338.02$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.451,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Over38c304$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.524327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under68c278.59$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0616452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under59c250.85$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8519448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over29c222.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.432,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Over46c208.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.686144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under58c191.06$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.066654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under60c190.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1326537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9425…0b83backed Over20c175.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Over33c175.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.932343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc06b…d849backed Over39c170.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.651346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under63c152.46$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4615156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011631.9%37 W · 79 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6f…cb80backed Under31c130$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5832356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f9…3691backed Under61c122.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.952045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c0…a779backed Over39c121.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.359558.9%56 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406041.7%25 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over38c104.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb56…fee9backed Over29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over21c96.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0d…c83abacked Over21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.87126.8%19 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde70…615fbacked Over38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011839.8%47 W · 71 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb87c…6be2backed Over39c78.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9564…d89abacked Under26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.922254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+67.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x524a…a206backed Over38c68.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under65c64.45$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5269744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over38c63.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.163,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Under65c61.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.817527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaae…232dbacked Under67c59.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.591376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb44…cdc0backed Over39c56.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over37c56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.722,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535a…227bbacked Over35c54.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over74c48.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.612,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530f…424ebacked Over24c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Under62c44.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1520851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Over49c32.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9435619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over32c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2420553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Under63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7518637.6%70 W · 116 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.237348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under38c29.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6110849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.414768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d10…5c74backed Under65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8511457%65 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x136c…7c5ebacked Under72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…e660backed Under64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-40.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.