Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a29358a7ff93b331ef84f00497792a2ed142ba0f35e0aca932ca5e1412e964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 3,002$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.96 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c0…47c5backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Under | 51c | 976.66$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.47 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +6.1wins | +0.38per pick | 43cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…35f7backed Under | 51c | 359.18$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +6.6wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Under | 51c | 354.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.72 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…4e7fbacked Under | 74c | 290.54$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 48c | 256$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 47c | 244.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Under | 74c | 241.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 74c | 173$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 74c | 168$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 74c | 168$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Under | 70c | 101.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 12c | 96.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 53c | 85.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Over | 27c | 72.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 74c | 59.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Over | 27c | 49.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 74c | 40.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed Under | 70c | 29.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 55c | 19.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…d6d8backed Under | 71c | 18.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.