TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Haiti (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Scotlandof Haiti, Scotland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,327 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x361b…74febacked Haiti12c71,837$8,430 inLost-$8,430.4351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Haiti3c8,294$272 inLost-$272.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Haiti4c8,190$288 inLost-$287.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Haiti1c6,542$85 inLost-$84.5974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Haiti5c4,000$204 inLost-$20415937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Haiti5c3,894$195 inLost-$195.373,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Haiti5c3,645$170 inLost-$170.462,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Scotland52c2,087$1,092 inWon+$995.59247.8%44 W · 48 L+18.5wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+50.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Haiti5c2,000$100 inLost-$10024635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Haiti5c1,704$90 inLost-$903067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Haiti5c1,640$85 inLost-$85.271,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Haiti5c1,492$73 inLost-$72.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeff…e9abbacked Haiti6c1,375$86 inLost-$86.035747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Haiti5c1,072$54 inLost-$53.64,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Haiti5c934$45 inLost-$44.9665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Haiti6c783.06$45 inLost-$451739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Haiti5c733.32$39 inLost-$38.742,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Scotland42c708$299 inWon+$408.5213552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Haiti5c643.66$31 inLost-$30.9617629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Scotland54c600$323 inWon+$277.46144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Scotland47c451.16$212 inWon+$238.8110137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5dba…4fe1backed Haiti5c400$20 inLost-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Haiti6c392$22 inLost-$21.572,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Scotland47c373.84$174 inWon+$199.567630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Haiti5c298.17$15 inLost-$1534526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Haiti5c294$14 inLost-$13.61,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaea…95a9backed Haiti5c200$10 inLost-$1021022.4%47 W · 163 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Scotland46c90.88$42 inWon+$48.888731%27 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Scotland51c66.8$34 inWon+$32.6580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Scotland46c54.16$25 inWon+$29.388231.7%26 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Haiti40c30$12 inLost-$128336.1%30 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Scotland60c30$18 inWon+$1234554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.