TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac5a…1ac8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: MLB, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 65 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT8231.7%26 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$76.43
France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+224.5%+$475.88
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+900%+$382.1
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.88
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$205.12
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$57.36
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.55
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.83
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.83
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$53.6
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.92
Trezeguet: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$38.59
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.79
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.79
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+147%+$120.32
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Panama vs. England: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.49
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.49
Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.83
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick19cpaid-85.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?backed Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
LoL: Barça eSports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
LoL: Polar Squad Esports vs Kits Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonbacked Polar Squad Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonbacked SDM Tigres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
First Blood in Game 1?backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierbacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+175.5%+$30.59
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.62per pick23cpaid+285.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick23cpaid+434.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+634.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+1,369.6%+$348.82
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 0.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+227.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Southern Bravebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$32.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ezra Elliott win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Buccaneersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.