TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Butterflyof Butterfly, SAW Youngsters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Butterfly65c15,324$9,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,357.615,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0478…37c3backed Butterfly57c5,515$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.899952.5%52 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d4…f843backed Butterfly56c3,651$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddc…c874backed SAW Youngsters21c3,000$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.211861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed SAW Youngsters36c2,780$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.738841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed SAW Youngsters31c2,600$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8131,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW Youngsters24c2,419$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.012,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed SAW Youngsters41c2,307$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.4580542.2%340 W · 465 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x805d…f780backed SAW Youngsters18c2,268$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.052853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Butterfly62c2,223$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.132,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Butterfly68c1,974$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.352,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked SAW Youngsters47c1,960$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.1935347.9%169 W · 184 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked SAW Youngsters23c1,898$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.443,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Butterfly53c1,885$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.443055.1%237 W · 193 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked SAW Youngsters45c1,620$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7341,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked SAW Youngsters47c1,508$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.31,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b3…90c7backed SAW Youngsters14c1,474$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.312010%2 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Butterfly55c1,400$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.6923356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Butterfly78c1,270$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.573,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Butterfly78c1,250$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.782,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd747…076cbacked SAW Youngsters35c1,240$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4343748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked SAW Youngsters37c1,239$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.3533740.9%138 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Butterfly75c1,133$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.974,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Butterfly55c1,125$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.11,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7542…defdbacked SAW Youngsters43c1,110$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed SAW Youngsters43c1,075$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.1319840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Butterfly50c1,060$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53574956.7%425 W · 324 L+47.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked SAW Youngsters30c1,040$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9472644.4%322 W · 404 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked SAW Youngsters49c1,000$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4856740.3%27 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x34a8…8c5cbacked SAW Youngsters34c985.99$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.133231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed SAW Youngsters38c978$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8712244.3%54 W · 68 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed SAW Youngsters23c973.48$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.923732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly72c930.63$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.655,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked SAW Youngsters38c810.53$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3125639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Butterfly68c799.99$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25620643.2%89 W · 117 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked SAW Youngsters45c791.74$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.189443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed SAW Youngsters43c776.68$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.971010%1 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-86.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed SAW Youngsters15c683.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005028%14 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Butterfly53c661.26$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.7921953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed SAW Youngsters40c640.37$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8337848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed SAW Youngsters43c628.57$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.4515948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c15…5b4bbacked SAW Youngsters47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2821250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed SAW Youngsters33c582.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5754339.4%214 W · 329 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed SAW Youngsters32c579$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2813646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed SAW Youngsters12c562.8$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.732,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked SAW Youngsters47c538$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8622645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed SAW Youngsters43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked SAW Youngsters39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19574633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked SAW Youngsters43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2159160.4%55 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked SAW Youngsters37c486.31$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.763341.9%265 W · 368 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed SAW Youngsters20c486.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8587330.9%270 W · 603 L-62.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked SAW Youngsters43c472.06$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1146247.8%221 W · 241 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed SAW Youngsters35c447.94$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9333327.9%93 W · 240 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed SAW Youngsters43c442$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0619347.2%91 W · 102 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Butterfly57c440$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.25,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fc…7ac9backed Butterfly76c432.96$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcecf…e84fbacked SAW Youngsters36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505827.6%16 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked SAW Youngsters44c400$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17891245.8%418 W · 494 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…e928backed Butterfly56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.147758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked SAW Youngsters39c326.11$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9744747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked SAW Youngsters39c320$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.827740.8%113 W · 164 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Butterfly71c319.34$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.344,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Butterfly70c294.35$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.184,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed SAW Youngsters38c288$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.462,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Butterfly59c284.2$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.511,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Butterfly64c278.9$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6468059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed SAW Youngsters44c277.27$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12235739.2%140 W · 217 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SAW Youngsters28c269.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.822,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked SAW Youngsters35c258.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9048242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked SAW Youngsters30c256.58$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.953,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed SAW Youngsters12c246$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.745,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed SAW Youngsters35c239.2$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7221445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed SAW Youngsters22c237.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.191,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Butterfly70c228.88$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.862048.2%299 W · 321 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed Butterfly57c224.56$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.568647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…41c8backed SAW Youngsters44c215.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Butterfly57c214.04$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0415047.3%71 W · 79 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked SAW Youngsters41c214$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3947836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed SAW Youngsters22c205.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1439145.8%179 W · 212 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked SAW Youngsters36c201.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4835947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed SAW Youngsters47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9429246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1245…e0afbacked SAW Youngsters33c196.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.773432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed SAW Youngsters45c194.95$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7338739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed Butterfly64c187$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9414356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed SAW Youngsters43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807935.4%28 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeae…a2fabacked Butterfly54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.197350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Butterfly78c180.47$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.766436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b2f…8a03backed SAW Youngsters17c175.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302123.8%5 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x327a…3480backed Butterfly57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.449050%45 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292a…d1acbacked Butterfly57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked SAW Youngsters22c170$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.232,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08b5…77e9backed SAW Youngsters39c169.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.861450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed SAW Youngsters24c169.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.694918.4%9 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7290…bdf6backed SAW Youngsters39c167.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.522040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ab…29a5backed SAW Youngsters24c167.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked SAW Youngsters16c163.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2819252.1%100 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed SAW Youngsters19c161$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.391,06242.2%448 W · 614 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked SAW Youngsters24c151.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.243324.2%8 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d57…419cbacked Butterfly63c148.62$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Butterfly78c147.87$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5313337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.