TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SAW Youngstersof Butterfly, SAW Youngsters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3db4…d69bbacked SAW Youngsters40c3,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9775056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Butterfly61c1,838$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.755,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked SAW Youngsters45c1,753$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.6419252.1%100 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Butterfly60c1,489$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.927,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Butterfly58c1,402$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.694,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Butterfly57c1,173$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.333,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly56c1,150$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.145,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed SAW Youngsters43c1,144$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.9523356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Butterfly56c1,056$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.351533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Butterfly58c1,049$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.372,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed SAW Youngsters41c1,029$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.0227647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddc…c874backed SAW Youngsters41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.11861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked SAW Youngsters32c999.96$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9735847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Butterfly3c928$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.673,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked SAW Youngsters40c851.77$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0643951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed SAW Youngsters39c796$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.4612244.3%54 W · 68 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed Butterfly59c715$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3514248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e2…9aeebacked Butterfly57c695.89$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.035240.4%21 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed SAW Youngsters41c687.81$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.8110142.6%43 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed SAW Youngsters44c678.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.1335153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked SAW Youngsters42c654.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.8917240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Butterfly4c646.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.682,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Butterfly60c591.6$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.968958.4%52 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked SAW Youngsters43c582.16$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4925944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked SAW Youngsters41c506.48$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.457843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Butterfly39c483.97$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2375245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Butterfly60c480.49$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2921146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Butterfly60c476.72$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8419748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Butterfly71c428.7$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.0158745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…e928backed SAW Youngsters45c332.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.837758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Butterfly58c318.74$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.625,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Butterfly62c309.45$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.254,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2363…ed78backed Butterfly59c304.31$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806640.9%27 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Butterfly62c294.25$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.583,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Butterfly59c267$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.821,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…4efebacked SAW Youngsters43c263.93$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.087357.5%42 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed Butterfly59c263.45$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4412340.7%50 W · 73 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed SAW Youngsters43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5639955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x488a…cb68backed Butterfly35c221.55$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.614540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked SAW Youngsters36c209.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.42,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed Butterfly59c202.09$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1196333.3%21 W · 42 L-11.4wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Butterfly59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.983543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Butterfly12c183$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.545,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Butterfly60c161.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.772,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Butterfly59c157$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5419447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Butterfly59c144$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.726048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Butterfly58c138.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.241,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c65…e901backed Butterfly59c137.29$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Butterfly20c126$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked SAW Youngsters60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.589341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Butterfly60c124$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.451446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Butterfly40c106$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.922,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked SAW Youngsters37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6391945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed SAW Youngsters37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6329246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x805d…f780backed SAW Youngsters51c98.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.592853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Butterfly57c93.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0749850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed SAW Youngsters42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked SAW Youngsters42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.44247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed SAW Youngsters71c78.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed SAW Youngsters40c77.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7216850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed SAW Youngsters42c74.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3915948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed SAW Youngsters57c73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.552,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed SAW Youngsters44c72.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.471,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Butterfly59c67.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0417055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Butterfly40c66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0832463%204 W · 120 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Butterfly18c65.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.872,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Butterfly25c60.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512750.4%64 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb922…5e41backed Butterfly59c60.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed SAW Youngsters43c56.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1561054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed SAW Youngsters37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.058253.7%44 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked SAW Youngsters41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.572353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed SAW Youngsters40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1357…4829backed SAW Youngsters46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Butterfly60c49.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8641853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed SAW Youngsters39c45.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1477146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Butterfly60c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.420742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed SAW Youngsters73c41.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0113960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked SAW Youngsters37c39.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.727940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9df…2b7abacked Butterfly59c37.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+53.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Butterfly59c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.781,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Butterfly60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.962,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Butterfly60c33.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Butterfly38c32.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Butterfly56c30.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.912,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed Butterfly40c29.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick19cpaid+74.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed Butterfly63c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6314356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Butterfly60c23.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3524152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a0…1257backed Butterfly64c20.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Butterfly56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.213244.7%59 W · 73 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Butterfly60c18.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Butterfly68c14.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016361.3%100 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.