CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af13b8ec3d6bc3dfc0227d72bd54e6b170558cf088de7a497ea1054dfcef4b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butterflyof Butterfly, SAW Youngsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Butterfly | 61c | 4,095$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.84 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Butterfly | 55c | 3,200$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked SAW Youngsters | 49c | 1,685$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.45 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW Youngsters | 45c | 1,547$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…fdfebacked SAW Youngsters | 69c | 1,428$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked SAW Youngsters | 38c | 1,103$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Butterfly | 38c | 1,050$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.94 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SAW Youngsters | 53c | 877.81$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.07 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Butterfly | 61c | 853.93$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.28 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked SAW Youngsters | 37c | 796.07$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.55 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Butterfly | 55c | 776.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.11 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Butterfly | 65c | 721.28$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked SAW Youngsters | 45c | 642.91$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.22 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked SAW Youngsters | 41c | 604.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Butterfly | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Butterfly | 62c | 534.23$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed SAW Youngsters | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Butterfly | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed SAW Youngsters | 48c | 458.45$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed SAW Youngsters | 37c | 413.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked SAW Youngsters | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SAW Youngsters | 55c | 384.42$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.59 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Butterfly | 55c | 366$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed SAW Youngsters | 19c | 323$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SAW Youngsters | 39c | 300$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed SAW Youngsters | 40c | 266.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SAW Youngsters | 43c | 240.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed SAW Youngsters | 43c | 240$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SAW Youngsters | 46c | 232.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed SAW Youngsters | 45c | 232$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed SAW Youngsters | 45c | 224.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed SAW Youngsters | 45c | 223.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Butterfly | 25c | 211.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Butterfly | 63c | 206.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Butterfly | 51c | 195.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked SAW Youngsters | 36c | 175.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked SAW Youngsters | 43c | 172.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked SAW Youngsters | 37c | 154$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked SAW Youngsters | 51c | 142.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SAW Youngsters | 51c | 125.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Butterfly | 56c | 124$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed SAW Youngsters | 45c | 107.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked SAW Youngsters | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SAW Youngsters | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed SAW Youngsters | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Butterfly | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed SAW Youngsters | 35c | 98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW Youngsters | 51c | 85.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Butterfly | 60c | 84.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Butterfly | 49c | 82.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SAW Youngsters | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed SAW Youngsters | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked SAW Youngsters | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Butterfly | 57c | 66.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Butterfly | 61c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…bc54backed SAW Youngsters | 44c | 52.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…4706backed SAW Youngsters | 71c | 49.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Butterfly | 41c | 47.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed SAW Youngsters | 38c | 44.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked SAW Youngsters | 52c | 41.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed SAW Youngsters | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW Youngsters | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SAW Youngsters | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Butterfly | 35c | 30.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked SAW Youngsters | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…666fbacked SAW Youngsters | 38c | 28.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed SAW Youngsters | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SAW Youngsters | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Butterfly | 63c | 26.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Butterfly | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…6cedbacked SAW Youngsters | 58c | 25.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SAW Youngsters | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked SAW Youngsters | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Butterfly | 66c | 22.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Butterfly | 54c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageButterfly won
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 WinnerSAW Youngsters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5)Butterfly won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.