TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6668…9b4d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: AI, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category AI at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5)backed Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 3 Winnerbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.99
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 2 Winnerbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$329.97
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 1 Winnerbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.76
Map Handicap: RC (-2.5) vs QT DIG∞ (+2.5)backed QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 Winnerbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$83.51
Valorant: REJECT vs QT DIG∞ - Map 1 Winnerbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Map Handicap: RC (-1.5) vs IGZIST (+1.5)backed IGZIST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.45
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$255.6
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.21
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$54.04
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$59.17
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs REVENIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.69
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$276.59
Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs SAW Youngsters (+1.5)backed SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.56
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$350
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5)backed SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerbacked SAW Youngsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.35
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.73
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$110.85
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.85
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,497.91
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,890
Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Game Handicap: Team Jenz (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5)backed Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.95
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.29
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.63
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.