Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5fce28108dbea54ab0eb7c1650aa04badec6c9f8f764bb59d104af5992c6417

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, TEC Esports
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,235 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xeac2…dddcbacked Trace Esports	57c	10,680$6,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,608.8	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed TEC Esports	51c	5,601$2,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,833.04	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Trace Esports	70c	3,387$2,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.86	105	66.7%70 W · 35 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TEC Esports	52c	1,366$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.57	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Trace Esports	52c	1,026$537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.53	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed TEC Esports	50c	760$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	137	43.8%60 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed TEC Esports	32c	734.93$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.68	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	+12.2wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc290…2e06backed TEC Esports	15c	630.33$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.06	54	14.8%8 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TEC Esports	35c	621$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.65	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked TEC Esports	48c	579.86$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.58	240	32.1%77 W · 163 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TEC Esports	42c	569.77$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.66	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed TEC Esports	48c	542.75$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.08	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked TEC Esports	46c	540.09$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.01	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6668…9b4dbacked Trace Esports	44c	456.43$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.6	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Trace Esports	52c	384.22$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.22	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed TEC Esports	51c	315.59$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	196	48.5%95 W · 101 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked TEC Esports	43c	300$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+5.2wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+29%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked TEC Esports	41c	280.49$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed TEC Esports	47c	256$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.46	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed TEC Esports	41c	249.54$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.15	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked TEC Esports	48c	217.12$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.19	571	51%291 W · 280 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Trace Esports	52c	202$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.55	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bd…3338backed TEC Esports	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked Trace Esports	47c	194.26$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.96	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.7wins	+0.34per pick	48cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Trace Esports	45c	175$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.97	520	50%260 W · 260 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed TEC Esports	48c	174$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.94	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Trace Esports	44c	166$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.96	245	51%125 W · 120 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed TEC Esports	50c	161.25$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.89	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Trace Esports	40c	160$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	361	45.7%165 W · 196 L	+22.8wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x928d…ca45backed Trace Esports	30c	150$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed TEC Esports	45c	150$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked TEC Esports	42c	147.68$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.82	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked TEC Esports	43c	138.81$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.58	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Trace Esports	52c	136.15$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.31	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed TEC Esports	53c	132.63$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked TEC Esports	51c	124.29$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.47	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed TEC Esports	44c	120$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.12	664	38.1%253 W · 411 L	-31.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Trace Esports	39c	102.78$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.78	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Trace Esports	58c	100.69$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.69	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed TEC Esports	54c	100.21$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.61	443	42%186 W · 257 L	-22.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Trace Esports	45c	100.13$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.07	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Trace Esports	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	389	50.6%197 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed TEC Esports	28c	99.47$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.79	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Trace Esports	51c	91.23$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.38	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc21d…50c1backed Trace Esports	65c	90.67$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.67	64	70.3%45 W · 19 L	+7.0wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TEC Esports	26c	80.4$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.08	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked TEC Esports	23c	80$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.67	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked Trace Esports	42c	71.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.67	122	50%61 W · 61 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Trace Esports	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.19	796	50%398 W · 398 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Trace Esports	56c	58.29$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.64	229	55%126 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2261…ffd1backed Trace Esports	44c	56.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.89	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Trace Esports	47c	55.09$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.09	123	35.8%44 W · 79 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed Trace Esports	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	182	54.4%99 W · 83 L	+22.3wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed TEC Esports	38c	49.69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed TEC Esports	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	205	47.8%98 W · 107 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Trace Esports	55c	44.29$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.93	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Trace Esports	44c	39.29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Trace Esports	60c	38.64$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.53	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9b…df54backed TEC Esports	48c	37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed TEC Esports	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed TEC Esports	54c	33.92$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked TEC Esports	60c	25.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	251	41.4%104 W · 147 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TEC Esports	45c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	553	48.3%267 W · 286 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Trace Esports	70c	22.86$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.86	273	60.1%164 W · 109 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4967…340bbacked Trace Esports	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	70	64.3%45 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce61…a87fbacked TEC Esports	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c23…cab3backed TEC Esports	61c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked TEC Esports	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	339	47.8%162 W · 177 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe40a…76fabacked Trace Esports	80c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked TEC Esports	54c	18.52$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	89	68.5%61 W · 28 L	+7.0wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: TEC (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed DecidersTrace Esports won
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerTrace Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event