Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33f01279d886c98976d69ed252c88b95641c99fc6d7de198234c62112e537527

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, TEC Esports
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,137 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xeac2…dddcbacked Trace Esports	52c	5,542$2,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,667.34	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed TEC Esports	37c	1,643$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.64	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+12.8wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked TEC Esports	50c	1,549$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TEC Esports	46c	1,428$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.8	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Trace Esports	54c	999.98$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.99	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c90…5b3ebacked TEC Esports	64c	949.97$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.98	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed TEC Esports	47c	928.39$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.82	196	48.5%95 W · 101 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TEC Esports	52c	709.68$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.22	936	49.3%461 W · 475 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TEC Esports	33c	685.69$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.72	818	34.8%285 W · 533 L	-61.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TEC Esports	56c	550.46$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.14	1,365	38.9%531 W · 834 L	-60.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed TEC Esports	57c	523.54$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.71	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Trace Esports	43c	500$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Trace Esports	47c	498.86$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.59	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+5.2wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+29%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed TEC Esports	41c	448.02$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.01	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Trace Esports	53c	444.79$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.74	1,253	49.5%620 W · 633 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked TEC Esports	51c	435.59$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Trace Esports	44c	392.86$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	339	42.2%143 W · 196 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Trace Esports	42c	370.09$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.65	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed TEC Esports	50c	347.71$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.16	537	42.1%226 W · 311 L	-15.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Trace Esports	63c	338.23$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.61	1,281	32.1%411 W · 870 L	-67.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Trace Esports	62c	311.85$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.79	893	44.3%396 W · 497 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bd…3338backed TEC Esports	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked TEC Esports	49c	290$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.1	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Trace Esports	59c	266.22$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.19	518	49.6%257 W · 261 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed TEC Esports	24c	262$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.05	444	41.9%186 W · 258 L	-22.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Trace Esports	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	117	54.7%64 W · 53 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b8d…4b6fbacked Trace Esports	70c	250$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	72	65.3%47 W · 25 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked TEC Esports	37c	220.64$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.45	969	45%436 W · 533 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TEC Esports	53c	193.4$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.49	1,495	46.6%696 W · 799 L	-17.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed TEC Esports	59c	170.81$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed TEC Esports	52c	167.31$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	364	46.2%168 W · 196 L	+24.4wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked TEC Esports	27c	156.16$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.76	407	31.7%129 W · 278 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TEC Esports	45c	150$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.14	553	48.3%267 W · 286 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed TEC Esports	28c	146.42$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.41	221	18.1%40 W · 181 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Trace Esports	66c	131.87$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.92	391	66%258 W · 133 L	+24.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Trace Esports	56c	117.68$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.54	240	32.1%77 W · 163 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed TEC Esports	27c	109.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked TEC Esports	43c	105.68$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.29	913	33.2%303 W · 610 L	-89.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Trace Esports	63c	103.59$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.73	575	50.6%291 W · 284 L	+14.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Trace Esports	65c	99.99$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	393	50.9%200 W · 193 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Trace Esports	55c	99.48$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.43	1,312	43.8%575 W · 737 L	-44.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked TEC Esports	15c	94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	513	44.6%229 W · 284 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TEC Esports	48c	91.18$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.81	520	50%260 W · 260 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed TEC Esports	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Trace Esports	68c	80$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed TEC Esports	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.1	182	54.4%99 W · 83 L	+22.3wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Trace Esports	61c	79.16$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.75	705	43.5%307 W · 398 L	-14.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked TEC Esports	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	132	43.2%57 W · 75 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Trace Esports	43c	67.51$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.48	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked TEC Esports	44c	65.16$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.52	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9b…df54backed TEC Esports	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed TEC Esports	51c	62.79$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.02	171	50.9%87 W · 84 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Trace Esports	60c	60.87$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.61	783	44.1%345 W · 438 L	-21.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked TEC Esports	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	124	50%62 W · 62 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+21%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed TEC Esports	45c	57.9$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.21	796	50%398 W · 398 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked TEC Esports	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed TEC Esports	34c	57.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	65	60%39 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports	40c	50.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.39	1,607	37.5%603 W · 1,004 L	-75.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Trace Esports	64c	46.37$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.72	751	42.7%321 W · 430 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed TEC Esports	32c	45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	666	38%253 W · 413 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f86…e074backed Trace Esports	67c	44.12$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.56	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a9c…bfe2backed Trace Esports	67c	43.9$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.49	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	44cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed TEC Esports	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	205	47.8%98 W · 107 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x888d…c45dbacked Trace Esports	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Trace Esports	63c	38.1$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	251	41.4%104 W · 147 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Trace Esports	35c	37.28$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.36	90	68.9%62 W · 28 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Trace Esports	43c	36.49$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.67	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c3…e829backed TEC Esports	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed TEC Esports	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed TEC Esports	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed TEC Esports	57c	34.18$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.48	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked Trace Esports	47c	30.64$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.24	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.7wins	+0.34per pick	48cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed Trace Esports	52c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked Trace Esports	49c	27.33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.94	184	57.1%105 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa5…a94abacked Trace Esports	49c	26.28$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+36%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed Trace Esports	43c	24.23$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked TEC Esports	53c	20.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: TEC (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed DecidersTrace Esports won
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event