Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa973b5213e4e7799194afce192d9fcf8ed276a86516b710f012f897d8dea25b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Contra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked BESTIA | 29c | 1,793$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 25c | 1,125$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.79 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Contra | 58c | 783.87$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.42 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 39c | 778.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.4 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Contra | 56c | 627.78$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.57 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked BESTIA | 56c | 532.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.39 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked Contra | 34c | 499.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed BESTIA | 6c | 492.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.4 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed BESTIA | 66c | 474.96$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Contra | 61c | 474$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.17 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Contra | 65c | 413.64$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.17 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked BESTIA | 58c | 339.85$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Contra | 45c | 339.23$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Contra | 61c | 331$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.27 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Contra | 39c | 287.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BESTIA | 63c | 262$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Contra | 41c | 258$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Contra | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Contra | 42c | 244.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA | 77c | 241.91$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Contra | 9c | 209$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 48c | 187.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Contra | 67c | 173.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked BESTIA | 60c | 167.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Contra | 63c | 160.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BESTIA | 33c | 153.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BESTIA | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed BESTIA | 50c | 134.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed BESTIA | 62c | 131.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed BESTIA | 32c | 109$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed BESTIA | 11c | 108.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed BESTIA | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed Contra | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked BESTIA | 69c | 93.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Contra | 37c | 93.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Contra | 45c | 88.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked BESTIA | 73c | 86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Contra | 25c | 80.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Contra | 56c | 77.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed BESTIA | 59c | 74.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed BESTIA | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed BESTIA | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Contra | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 27c | 60.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed Contra | 79c | 60.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked BESTIA | 67c | 59.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Contra | 46c | 58.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Contra | 58c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Contra | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed BESTIA | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Contra | 50c | 47.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BESTIA | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked BESTIA | 72c | 41.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Contra | 52c | 40.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Contra | 28c | 40.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…8ca5backed BESTIA | 64c | 38.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed BESTIA | 37c | 38.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed BESTIA | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed BESTIA | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…581bbacked BESTIA | 63c | 31.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked BESTIA | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fc…b91abacked BESTIA | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Contra | 42c | 26.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Contra | 54c | 26.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x6972…b871backed BESTIA | 68c | 26.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…221ebacked BESTIA | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Contra | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Contra | 67c | 15.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5)BESTIA won
- Map Handicap: BST (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5)Contra won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America Finals PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 2 WinnerContra won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 3 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 4 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.