Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb6c0c707615df1e63812079a76bb1f4f12df76fbf136fb005f784b7427ef100
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Contra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed BESTIA | 60c | 664$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…64d0backed BESTIA | 60c | 657.36$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Contra | 38c | 548.47$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked Contra | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked BESTIA | 62c | 321.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Contra | 39c | 321.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed BESTIA | 64c | 260.9$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Contra | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Contra | 47c | 235.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed BESTIA | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Contra | 40c | 117.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Contra | 39c | 102.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Contra | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Contra | 40c | 94.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed BESTIA | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Contra | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Contra | 50c | 66.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked BESTIA | 53c | 45.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5)this page
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BST (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5)Contra won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America Finals PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 2 WinnerContra won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 3 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 4 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.