Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb6646ca54ee2d36715b47a899cae90c32adeadee3e376f523534b0e962c905

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Contraof BESTIA, Contra
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,303 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x60ec…f7b0backed BESTIA	9c	1,586$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.75	565	51.2%289 W · 276 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked BESTIA	72c	971.64$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.59	146	53.4%78 W · 68 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Contra	36c	813.09$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.57	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Contra	70c	807.07$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.6	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed BESTIA	63c	785.74$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.67	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed BESTIA	64c	662.78$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.82	71	64.8%46 W · 25 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Contra	37c	649.57$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.23	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA	49c	556.91$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.43	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6668…9b4dbacked Contra	34c	499.96$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.97	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Contra	30c	490$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed BESTIA	68c	477.57$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.74	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BESTIA	21c	474.73$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.73	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Contra	71c	431.22$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.4	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1bf…b83cbacked Contra	32c	314.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.06	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed BESTIA	29c	313.69$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.7	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BESTIA	17c	304$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.44	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Contra	32c	250$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Contra	62c	197.02$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.78	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed BESTIA	35c	193$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.02	86	25.6%22 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a8…d2c8backed Contra	36c	192.64$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.61	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BESTIA	64c	189.25$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.46	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Contra	38c	170.98$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.22	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Contra	70c	162.85$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.24	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Contra	32c	156$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.08	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked BESTIA	66c	151.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed BESTIA	66c	151.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Contra	71c	151$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.42	571	51%291 W · 280 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b58…3474backed BESTIA	22c	136.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Contra	35c	125.13$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.33	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Contra	70c	121.47$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.49	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked BESTIA	66c	121.21$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	130	43.1%56 W · 74 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Contra	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Contra	78c	116.9$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA	40c	108.22$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.06	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Contra	75c	102$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.08	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Contra	58c	94.65$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.65	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed BESTIA	68c	87.22$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed BESTIA	65c	86$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.13	169	63.3%107 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Contra	73c	84.59$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.98	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Contra	45c	79.78$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.75	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Contra	32c	72.1$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.03	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Contra	57c	70$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.89	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed BESTIA	42c	70$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Contra	66c	66$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.47	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Contra	31c	64.06$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.06	205	47.8%98 W · 107 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed BESTIA	66c	60.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed BESTIA	66c	60.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked BESTIA	65c	56.69$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.85	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Contra	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed Contra	79c	49.43$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.48	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Contra	34c	33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.78	339	47.8%162 W · 177 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed BESTIA	63c	30.42$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eac…de53backed BESTIA	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b24…103bbacked BESTIA	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d4…2613backed BESTIA	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed BESTIA	63c	29.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ba…4390backed BESTIA	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b66…582fbacked BESTIA	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7488…9cfbbacked BESTIA	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bff…cb72backed BESTIA	67c	28.39$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Contra	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.7	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9503…d1f3backed BESTIA	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	58cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5)BESTIA won
Map Handicap: BST (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5)Contra won
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America Finals PlayoffsBESTIA won
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 3 WinnerBESTIA won
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 4 WinnerBESTIA won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event