TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35ba…4390

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$70.53
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)backed Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Secret vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.03
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)backed Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 3 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-4.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+4.5)backed ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: Mandatory vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Liberec: Joel Schwaerzler vs Maxim Mrvabacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to Advancebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
NK Celje vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.