TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Pcific Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Pcific Esports49c20,000$9,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,699.9928955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Natus Vincere51c17,904$9,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,697.813046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Pcific Esports50c3,821$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.133767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Pcific Esports51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9916952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Natus Vincere49c1,759$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.181163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Pcific Esports51c1,372$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.694161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Natus Vincere52c1,293$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.935738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Natus Vincere52c1,065$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.381947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pcific Esports51c892.59$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.2219046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Natus Vincere52c784.62$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.627855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed Natus Vincere48c584.18$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.071850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Pcific Esports52c513.36$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.951752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pcific Esports48c508.12$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.925556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Natus Vincere49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25513743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Pcific Esports52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Natus Vincere49c411.61$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.925952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caa…c16cbacked Natus Vincere50c410$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Natus Vincere50c407.05$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.057646.1%35 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere49c406.86$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.516347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…3ca3backed Natus Vincere50c402.1$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.073342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf321…0315backed Natus Vincere49c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.481060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09a6…73c7backed Natus Vincere50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Pcific Esports53c352.42$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.782650%13 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Natus Vincere49c302.94$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.56229%18 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Natus Vincere50c300.98$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3727145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8458…52bfbacked Natus Vincere50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Pcific Esports51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.59737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere47c241.74$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1255152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb68…9dc5backed Natus Vincere50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202035%7 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Natus Vincere50c223.35$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.572445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Natus Vincere50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1058955.1%49 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Natus Vincere50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005238.5%20 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x42cd…2359backed Natus Vincere50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked Natus Vincere50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Natus Vincere48c180.86$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.051553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Pcific Esports49c180.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2310846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x355b…4fb7backed Natus Vincere49c158.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Natus Vincere50c156.73$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.373946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…91febacked Natus Vincere50c156.12$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Pcific Esports52c152.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.564641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Pcific Esports53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed Natus Vincere48c120.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Natus Vincere50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6013148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d29…872abacked Pcific Esports54c111.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Natus Vincere49c108.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4311559.1%68 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Pcific Esports49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Natus Vincere49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045050%25 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Pcific Esports48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed Natus Vincere49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked Natus Vincere49c97.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.620347.3%96 W · 107 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed Pcific Esports49c96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.042955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked Pcific Esports52c95.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Pcific Esports53c94.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.785054%27 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Pcific Esports49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013043.1%56 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Pcific Esports50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Pcific Esports51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.622440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Pcific Esports53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306666.7%44 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Natus Vincere48c49.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9617948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Natus Vincere47c48.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.647950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…1edbbacked Pcific Esports52c48.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9965…7a82backed Pcific Esports52c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Pcific Esports53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Pcific Esports52c46.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245547.3%26 W · 29 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Natus Vincere46c42.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0312550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c3…e829backed Pcific Esports49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Pcific Esports49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3c…9c66backed Natus Vincere49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x736e…92babacked Natus Vincere49c39.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205030%15 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa7…8332backed Pcific Esports52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Pcific Esports52c33.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.199355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Natus Vincere51c33.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.071471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Pcific Esports52c32.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.888454.8%46 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…1e57backed Natus Vincere49c28.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffb3…fc52backed Pcific Esports53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Natus Vincere45c27.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.934443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x328e…d837backed Pcific Esports52c26.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Natus Vincere68c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.044932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2260…5318backed Pcific Esports54c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Natus Vincere50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.543843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Pcific Esports52c20.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6349255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe91c…0cf9backed Pcific Esports49c20.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ba…4390backed Pcific Esports50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eac…de53backed Pcific Esports50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.