TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2260…5318

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group Dbacked RED Canids Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81%+$10.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.81
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Drip Too Hard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Raccoons (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$10.94
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)backed Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$22.07
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 13backed Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Abacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$22.35
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5)backed Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.2
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.84
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)backed Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$23.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Targu Mures: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Carole Monnetbacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69%+$21.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.