CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4b2a4acd92bb4a97e5de5690184a01fae64ffd4149ee28441bbf596ab632e65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof NRG, Marsborne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG | 57c | 10,645$6,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069.79 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Marsborne | 42c | 5,511$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.11 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NRG | 56c | 2,050$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.88 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Marsborne | 45c | 1,273$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.36 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Marsborne | 45c | 974.3$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.87 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Marsborne | 43c | 893.49$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.29 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Marsborne | 44c | 849.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.11 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Marsborne | 43c | 775$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.75 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NRG | 57c | 703.73$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.12 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Marsborne | 43c | 641.48$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.12 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Marsborne | 43c | 399.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 610 | 54.6%333 W · 277 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Marsborne | 43c | 360$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Marsborne | 45c | 319.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Marsborne | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Marsborne | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Marsborne | 42c | 291.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.24 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked NRG | 52c | 262.22$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Marsborne | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed NRG | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Marsborne | 43c | 175.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed NRG | 58c | 173.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Marsborne | 46c | 150.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Marsborne | 44c | 137.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 357 | 39.2%140 W · 217 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed NRG | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Marsborne | 46c | 104.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…c028backed Marsborne | 44c | 91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked NRG | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Marsborne | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Marsborne | 43c | 75.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Marsborne | 43c | 73.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked NRG | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked NRG | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Marsborne | 43c | 51.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 415 | 55.4%230 W · 185 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Marsborne | 46c | 51.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…719dbacked Marsborne | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marsborne | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed NRG | 56c | 43.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Marsborne | 47c | 41.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 328 | 40.2%132 W · 196 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed NRG | 58c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 232 | 65.1%151 W · 81 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…588dbacked NRG | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Marsborne | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked NRG | 57c | 38.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…5318backed Marsborne | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked NRG | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Marsborne | 44c | 33.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Marsborne | 43c | 33.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked Marsborne | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed Marsborne | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Marsborne | 43c | 31.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 185 | 63.2%117 W · 68 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked NRG | 56c | 28.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed NRG | 57c | 25.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…cae8backed Marsborne | 43c | 25.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Marsborne | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Marsborne | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked NRG | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Marsborne | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked NRG | 57c | 21.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed NRG | 57c | 18.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Marsborne (+3.5)Marsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.