TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, Marsborne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Marsborne17c8,418$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.3949536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked NRG58c8,151$4,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.2992456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marsborne41c6,321$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.663,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked NRG63c4,834$3,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.635847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27e4…4803backed NRG58c4,188$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.493754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Marsborne18c4,000$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.511,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed NRG74c3,888$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.937766.2%51 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Marsborne35c3,149$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.4463157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Marsborne18c2,887$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.1533627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Marsborne31c2,523$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.643,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c13…71a1backed Marsborne24c2,510$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.853545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Marsborne36c2,358$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.232,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3a…eb16backed Marsborne19c2,169$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.193528.6%10 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NRG61c2,084$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.491,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Marsborne18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3608951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Marsborne18c1,859$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.625,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed Marsborne17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015823.4%37 W · 121 L-18.0wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Marsborne34c1,675$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.931,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Marsborne36c1,610$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.113,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e03…040fbacked Marsborne17c1,469$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.751040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Marsborne39c1,427$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.14151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Marsborne46c1,376$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.095836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Marsborne34c1,293$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.582,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Marsborne17c1,150$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.552,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Marsborne39c1,138$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.021,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Marsborne19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Marsborne17c1,024$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.18644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed Marsborne17c1,024$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.12236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed NRG55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86bf…a172backed NRG58c949.46$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.463836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Marsborne17c910.19$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7311247.3%53 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1245…e0afbacked Marsborne18c904.85$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.383432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Marsborne63c891.86$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.219658.2%114 W · 82 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1311…b275backed Marsborne35c866.72$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.731822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed NRG63c850$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.517759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Marsborne29c838.1$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4836440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed Marsborne46c799.99$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3648548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Marsborne52c793.35$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.640558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG67c789.73$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.36,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Marsborne51c786.98$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.3625846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Marsborne18c713.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1414545.5%66 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Marsborne19c708.7$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6534140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Marsborne27c678.29$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0713537%50 W · 85 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NRG80c643.2$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.572,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Marsborne18c606.02$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.956937.7%26 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Marsborne18c602.75$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.169044.4%40 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2899…707fbacked Marsborne17c569.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed NRG57c549.93$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.474250%21 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Marsborne27c541$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.891,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Marsborne44c540.03$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.499051.1%46 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed NRG58c522.93$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.551,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Marsborne17c520.66$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.511,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Marsborne44c518.68$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.212,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Marsborne25c485.39$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9675833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked NRG56c480.01$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0114454.9%79 W · 65 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Marsborne13c443$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5388330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Marsborne18c442.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.257345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed NRG69c432.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6131761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed NRG60c413.93$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4385851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed NRG57c406.87$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1123356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Marsborne32c406.47$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3540542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed Marsborne48c404.21$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.023228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marsborne37c403.15$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.475,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda89…6a2dbacked Marsborne17c399.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Marsborne47c368$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.254934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Marsborne18c362$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.148851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Marsborne19c360$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.639338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Marsborne28c352.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.022,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Marsborne20c324.94$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.183,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Marsborne17c299.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5191945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Marsborne34c298.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.64,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Marsborne37c286.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.458745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Marsborne18c280$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.435131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe040…fc3abacked Marsborne17c271.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Marsborne19c270.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3510438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed NRG75c266.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.642763%17 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed NRG78c264.96$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9617361.3%106 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Marsborne38c263.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.981,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed NRG57c251.29$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9161054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Marsborne18c250.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Marsborne18c243.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2137848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Marsborne19c241.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9217052.4%89 W · 81 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Marsborne26c235.27$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1715346.4%71 W · 82 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Marsborne43c223.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.529043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Marsborne28c219.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.744,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Marsborne35c210.28$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.883,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Marsborne38c201.62$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked NRG51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9841250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Marsborne19c185.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.335839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e6…bb76backed Marsborne18c183.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.14837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Marsborne46c181.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.782,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Marsborne17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Marsborne38c175.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.763354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Marsborne18c172.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.765147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked Marsborne17c172$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.248240.2%33 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Marsborne38c168.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8158745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Marsborne19c166.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0311155%61 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Marsborne64c163.27$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8941475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Marsborne35c163.06$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3116651.8%86 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked NRG74c158$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.535947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.