TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9135…8d9c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT8240.2%33 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 2 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+430.9%+$59.25
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.49
Counter-Strike: Revise vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.94
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.12
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$26.87
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$84.05
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.56
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+124%+$234.13
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$106.41
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.55
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.51
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.63
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.14
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+224.1%+$54.46
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$32.59
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$131.35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$109.31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$21.31
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winnerbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$16.9
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$82.73
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$41.97
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$14.85
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+55%+$7.1
LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.