CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01a3783a8807b451d0ceab6a51a639ca7fd02b2efa2f87bc6c05a09477ce9b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Under | 66c | 1,517$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 34c | 1,380$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.51 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 58c | 979.82$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.3 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 60c | 979.82$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.52 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Over | 43c | 581.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.53 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 43c | 454.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.23 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Over | 42c | 441.43$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.03 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Over | 50c | 175.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 37c | 169.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 59c | 148.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over | 41c | 145.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 68c | 117.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 37c | 110.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 42c | 107.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Over | 42c | 106$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Under | 60c | 97.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…4079backed Under | 59c | 87.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Over | 31c | 78.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 34c | 76.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 73.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 45c | 61.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…ba88backed Over | 43c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 41c | 50.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 73c | 41.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…c546backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Over | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 31.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…4040backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 48c | 25.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 56c | 24.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Under | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 73c | 20.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 56c | 19.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)GamerLegion won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)GamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.