CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e25766c19d61012cd627d06a7bc64e71beab64b3ca1bbaba7fb3c807708997f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof G2 Ares, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed ex-RUSTEC | 65c | 3,093$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.19 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed G2 Ares | 28c | 1,869$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.7 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 1,255$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.37 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 930.93$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.31 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 43c | 782.43$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.67 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 28c | 666.59$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.71 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed G2 Ares | 41c | 602.24$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed G2 Ares | 36c | 474.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.13 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked G2 Ares | 52c | 448.85$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked G2 Ares | 44c | 399.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…7ed6backed G2 Ares | 34c | 390.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 319.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed G2 Ares | 35c | 302.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed G2 Ares | 24c | 300.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed ex-RUSTEC | 57c | 293.02$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed G2 Ares | 35c | 290$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed G2 Ares | 43c | 269.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…03d3backed G2 Ares | 40c | 264$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 255.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.66 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…3f56backed G2 Ares | 35c | 251.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…e9dbbacked G2 Ares | 41c | 246.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 44c | 240.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked ex-RUSTEC | 60c | 226.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed G2 Ares | 45c | 220.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked G2 Ares | 43c | 201.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Ares | 56c | 170.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 167$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Ares | 20c | 163.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed G2 Ares | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked G2 Ares | 29c | 118.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 116.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed G2 Ares | 41c | 116$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 17c | 109.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked G2 Ares | 31c | 102.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed G2 Ares | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 93.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…3014backed ex-RUSTEC | 59c | 92.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8238backed G2 Ares | 47c | 84.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 74.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abd…94ecbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 70.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares | 32c | 62.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad02…774abacked ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 53.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…9b8fbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 50.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked G2 Ares | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares | 43c | 49.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 48.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed G2 Ares | 44c | 45.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 40c | 44.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked G2 Ares | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed G2 Ares | 35c | 39.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…d463backed G2 Ares | 52c | 37.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Ares | 44c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed G2 Ares | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 34.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed G2 Ares | 31c | 32.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…4b22backed ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUSTEC | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked G2 Ares | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.