TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ddd…1ad3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
269
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT15954.1%86 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 159 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 Winnerbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.15
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winnerbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.87
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$20.55
Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winnerbacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$13.84
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.11
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Spirit Academy (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.95
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs INOX Division (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.89
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.03
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.06
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$81
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.28
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$118.99
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$63.42
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.62
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.6
Showing 25 of 159 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.45
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.81
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.33
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.8
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.01
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+122.1%+$20.54
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.99
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.99
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)backed Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)backed XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.5
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$98.4
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$275.09
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.99
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.28
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.4
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.5
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.24
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$379.4
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$247.96
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.2
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.57
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.92
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.67
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.57
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$95.15
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.5
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.56
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$321
Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Kouame (+1.5)backed Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$73.7
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Halys (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-2.5) vs Assche (+2.5)backed Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$66.39
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.86
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.99
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$102.5
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$120.99
World Championships: Norway vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.53
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechiabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$50.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+180.3%+$51.46
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+213.3%+$66.39
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+175%+$92.83
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.7
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$72.5
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.9
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.