Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0e1ab172b1352a92c1ef7cd5dc8e7ba700d02dc7982a5cf31383a44b0068f83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof LOUD, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x357a…9c7bbacked LOUD | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG | 73c | 14,000$10,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed LOUD | 27c | 13,669$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.91 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed LOUD | 28c | 1,642$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked LOUD | 28c | 1,244$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed LOUD | 20c | 1,007$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed NRG | 74c | 995.67$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.36 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…4496backed LOUD | 26c | 949.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed LOUD | 23c | 918.56$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…ffd8backed NRG | 72c | 859.32$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 79c | 782.13$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked LOUD | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -14.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed LOUD | 30c | 700$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked NRG | 73c | 659.6$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed LOUD | 14c | 650.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed NRG | 74c | 537.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed NRG | 74c | 517.01$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed LOUD | 30c | 459.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG | 74c | 399.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed LOUD | 26c | 386.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed NRG | 76c | 353.12$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…53f0backed NRG | 79c | 319.84$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed LOUD | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed NRG | 69c | 289.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed NRG | 73c | 256.58$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed LOUD | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked LOUD | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked LOUD | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed LOUD | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked LOUD | 7c | 194$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG | 77c | 174.37$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed LOUD | 30c | 166.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LOUD | 14c | 160.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed LOUD | 30c | 160.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked NRG | 72c | 143.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed NRG | 71c | 139.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked NRG | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked NRG | 75c | 114.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG | 71c | 112.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbd…ed07backed LOUD | 27c | 100.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed NRG | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…0418backed LOUD | 33c | 96.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…b0b2backed NRG | 72c | 84.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…eee0backed NRG | 72c | 69.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked NRG | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed LOUD | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed LOUD | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed NRG | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked LOUD | 28c | 52.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed NRG | 74c | 47.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed LOUD | 27c | 44.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked LOUD | 32c | 44.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed LOUD | 31c | 42.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed LOUD | 28c | 39.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NRG | 74c | 32.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…85d5backed NRG | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked NRG | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed NRG | 68c | 21.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…e4dbbacked NRG | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked NRG | 72c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)NRG won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)NRG won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2NRG won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.