Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea770f44e1a2b85e3c8e75a86662ff8c7a1004c4d836b91bf001c26244070960
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10b0…8525backed NRG | 62c | 999.98$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked NRG | 66c | 986.99$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LOUD | 33c | 492.84$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.64 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed LOUD | 37c | 464.11$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed LOUD | 35c | 449.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed LOUD | 34c | 360.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed LOUD | 38c | 340.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed NRG | 62c | 259.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed LOUD | 39c | 256.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked NRG | 60c | 146.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed LOUD | 34c | 140.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked LOUD | 34c | 125.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed LOUD | 39c | 122.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed LOUD | 36c | 117.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed LOUD | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…bd83backed LOUD | 40c | 98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed NRG | 64c | 95.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…533dbacked LOUD | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed NRG | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed NRG | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed NRG | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked NRG | 63c | 28.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NRG | 61c | 28.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…3273backed NRG | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)NRG won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2NRG won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 3 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.