Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d616bb1313cbee70c5b0131745f012d3f82e7a38d00cc1b7643a8b19e8785a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof LOUD, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD | 36c | 3,842$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.68 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG | 66c | 3,056$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.18 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 56c | 2,469$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.18 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed LOUD | 33c | 2,219$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.45 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed LOUD | 31c | 1,401$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.45 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD | 49c | 1,200$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.5 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed NRG | 67c | 1,158$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.94 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed NRG | 62c | 1,101$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.18 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…ffd8backed LOUD | 17c | 1,013$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed NRG | 70c | 703.44$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.89 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed NRG | 73c | 633.56$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…2552backed NRG | 67c | 573.66$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LOUD | 38c | 528.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed LOUD | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 72c | 457.6$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed NRG | 58c | 450$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed LOUD | 48c | 414.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed LOUD | 37c | 379.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked LOUD | 26c | 370.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked NRG | 57c | 328.2$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed NRG | 64c | 322.47$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed LOUD | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked NRG | 67c | 263.47$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked LOUD | 39c | 241.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed LOUD | 39c | 232.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LOUD | 34c | 200.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed LOUD | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed NRG | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked NRG | 75c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG | 65c | 190.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked LOUD | 34c | 185.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked NRG | 66c | 174.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed LOUD | 21c | 168.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked LOUD | 30c | 164.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed NRG | 64c | 160.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed LOUD | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed LOUD | 36c | 139.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…53f0backed NRG | 65c | 137.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked LOUD | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed LOUD | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked LOUD | 26c | 119.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed LOUD | 47c | 111.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed LOUD | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed NRG | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed LOUD | 40c | 97.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed LOUD | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NRG | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NRG | 71c | 81.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked LOUD | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed NRG | 60c | 76.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NRG | 65c | 74.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked NRG | 56c | 71.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…6a68backed LOUD | 38c | 69.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed LOUD | 21c | 66.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed NRG | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed LOUD | 33c | 51.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…eee0backed NRG | 76c | 50.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked LOUD | 23c | 50.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed NRG | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed LOUD | 36c | 46.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…ca0dbacked LOUD | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed LOUD | 40c | 38.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed LOUD | 27c | 37.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked NRG | 66c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed NRG | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NRG | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked LOUD | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed NRG | 71c | 29.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked LOUD | 37c | 27.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed NRG | 56c | 25.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed NRG | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed NRG | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed NRG | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked NRG | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked NRG | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)NRG won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)NRG won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2NRG won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 3 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.