TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9718…ffd8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.84
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$142.7
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$137.72
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+217.2%+$556.21
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$118.94
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.99
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$52.32
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$23.1
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.19
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$94.91
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 24 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Riddle vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagebacked Insomnia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$401.97
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$484.62
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$159.02
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs Leviatán Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$240.61
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.68
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69%+$234.06
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$355.97
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$242.25
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.53
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$47.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Makarska: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.94
Birmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$700
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.27
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$126.02
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.69
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$73.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.56
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.84
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+300%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+221.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+221.1%+$143.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Carabobo FC vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.6%+$10.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deer Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC Playoffsbacked Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.