Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64d2dff4cbacaeb874a83eecf27293eb422c0388ccb5a4e4fe6bbff528f778ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof GLYPH, Carstensz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Carstensz | 29c | 20,830$6,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,033.96 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02eb…d124backed Carstensz | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked GLYPH | 72c | 7,300$5,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.64 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Carstensz | 36c | 7,043$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GLYPH | 73c | 4,175$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.82 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GLYPH | 80c | 3,098$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.26 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed GLYPH | 74c | 3,065$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.93 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Carstensz | 39c | 2,455$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Carstensz | 28c | 2,340$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.92 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Carstensz | 18c | 1,962$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.27 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed GLYPH | 69c | 1,376$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.76 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Carstensz | 41c | 1,222$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Carstensz | 23c | 1,191$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.79 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed GLYPH | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Carstensz | 37c | 1,089$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.23 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…ff78backed Carstensz | 23c | 1,080$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed GLYPH | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Carstensz | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed GLYPH | 70c | 872.19$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.19 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Carstensz | 24c | 837.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GLYPH | 71c | 805.75$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.24 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked GLYPH | 75c | 797.35$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.34 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Carstensz | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed GLYPH | 72c | 747.47$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed GLYPH | 66c | 746.87$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.33 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked GLYPH | 73c | 729.99$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked GLYPH | 73c | 690.61$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.52 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Carstensz | 31c | 686.98$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Carstensz | 5c | 641.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed GLYPH | 77c | 609.4$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Carstensz | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Carstensz | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GLYPH | 72c | 565.81$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked GLYPH | 73c | 538.49$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed GLYPH | 74c | 528.22$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Carstensz | 27c | 525.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Carstensz | 21c | 524.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed GLYPH | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…ffd8backed GLYPH | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed GLYPH | 62c | 462.69$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Carstensz | 2c | 459.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked GLYPH | 72c | 419.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked GLYPH | 69c | 402.1$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed GLYPH | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked GLYPH | 75c | 389.64$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Carstensz | 29c | 377.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked GLYPH | 64c | 375.97$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed GLYPH | 65c | 344.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed GLYPH | 73c | 331.64$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Carstensz | 16c | 304.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed GLYPH | 65c | 304.49$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed GLYPH | 68c | 295.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Carstensz | 24c | 288.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…56fdbacked Carstensz | 27c | 282.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Carstensz | 50c | 282.16$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH | 69c | 281.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…ea01backed Carstensz | 32c | 281.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked GLYPH | 74c | 271.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Carstensz | 28c | 269.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GLYPH | 68c | 262.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed GLYPH | 59c | 252$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed GLYPH | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GLYPH | 75c | 249.86$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed GLYPH | 72c | 243.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Carstensz | 15c | 224$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed GLYPH | 75c | 216.4$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Carstensz | 35c | 211.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Carstensz | 28c | 209.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed GLYPH | 61c | 208$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed GLYPH | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Carstensz | 26c | 192.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Carstensz | 32c | 177.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed GLYPH | 74c | 175.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…d06dbacked GLYPH | 73c | 172.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked GLYPH | 75c | 163.29$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Carstensz | 37c | 161.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Carstensz | 16c | 160$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked GLYPH | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked GLYPH | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed GLYPH | 77c | 158.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Carstensz | 11c | 156.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed GLYPH | 54c | 154$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed GLYPH | 65c | 151.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…f516backed Carstensz | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed GLYPH | 61c | 140.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed GLYPH | 73c | 137.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Carstensz | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Carstensz | 32c | 135$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed GLYPH | 77c | 133.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…d703backed GLYPH | 78c | 128.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Carstensz | 14c | 127.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GLYPH | 71c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Carstensz | 26c | 118.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed GLYPH | 70c | 117.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Carstensz | 12c | 116.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GLYPH | 58c | 111.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed GLYPH | 74c | 105.96$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 206 | 61.7%127 W · 79 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…5ac6backed GLYPH | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f7…9a03backed GLYPH | 77c | 102.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz - Game 1 WinnerCarstensz won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
- Game Handicap: GLYPH (-1.5) vs Carstensz (+1.5)Carstensz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.