TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34cc…d703

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harrisbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.59
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Makarska: Robin Montgomery vs Lea Boskovicbacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Viola Turinibacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swanbacked Katie Swan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$29.69
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanenbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinezbacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$42.25
Centurion 2: Tuncay Duran vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Tuncay Duran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+454.4%+$90.87
Prostejov: Viktor Durasovic vs Norbert Gombosbacked Viktor Durasovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Jan Kumstatbacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.94
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Centurion 2: Robert Strombachs vs Millen Hurrionbacked Robert Strombachs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$56.07
Birmingham: James Watt vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$59.54
Split: Daniel Rincon vs Maxim Mrvabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.93
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Play-Inbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$11.83
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$25.06
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs against All authority (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$138.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$34.47
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.44
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$29.3
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$944.26
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.79
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$28.62
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$35.47
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$28.99
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Libertybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$30.32
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29%+$5.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Cook Islandsbacked Cook Islands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$42.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.