MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x857ce12f912d601098a1fa49b28349dbc5e1ba8d88d6f5cffbae83e2ea096da4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 35c | 133,087$47,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,197.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 43,649$19,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,443.48 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 33,333$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,333.15 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 24,710$10,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,578.92 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 16,967$10,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,472.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 14,777$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,026.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 59c | 12,906$7,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,614.6 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 12,713$6,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,167.77 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed New York Yankees | 55c | 12,310$6,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,770.53 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees | 50c | 11,312$5,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,631.85 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 10,288$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,069.64 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 10,227$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,727.27 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 8,951$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.87 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 56c | 8,928$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.67 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed New York Yankees | 56c | 7,777$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.12 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 57c | 7,361$4,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.44 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 57c | 6,670$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.64 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 54c | 6,549$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked New York Yankees | 24c | 6,286$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 58c | 6,200$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.01 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 5,815$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.11 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 5,141$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees | 57c | 4,365$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.38 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…d020backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 4,362$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 41c | 4,327$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.34 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 3,667$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.67 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed New York Yankees | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Yankees | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 28c | 2,697$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,449$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed New York Yankees | 58c | 2,303$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.85 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 2,052$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.18 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed New York Yankees | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,995$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.97 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,956$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,879$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,616$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,600$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.15 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,499$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.52 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,400$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 1,337$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed New York Yankees | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 38c | 1,201$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.57 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 1,200$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed New York Yankees | 41c | 1,196$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,191$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.78 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,189$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.89 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…2a87backed New York Yankees | 9c | 1,114$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,093$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.82 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,070$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.38 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed New York Yankees | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.25 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 888$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.33 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…0a6cbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 864.64$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Yankees | 33c | 818.28$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.22 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 777.97$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.22 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 721.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.64 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Yankees | 31c | 700.13$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.13 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 600$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 555.79$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.55 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed New York Yankees | 41c | 552.04$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.07 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed New York Yankees | 66c | 550$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed New York Yankees | 56c | 545.45$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.45 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed New York Yankees | 58c | 544.22$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.65 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 528.79$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.7 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed New York Yankees | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…0bf2backed New York Yankees | 56c | 507.79$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 483.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed New York Yankees | 32c | 473.23$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 468.74$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.74 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 31c | 406.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed New York Yankees | 57c | 403.05$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.74 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 401$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees | 59c | 400.18$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.87 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked New York Yankees | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 390$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees | 34c | 363.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked New York Yankees | 9c | 360$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…9a9fbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 355$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed New York Yankees | 57c | 349.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed New York Yankees | 60c | 346.86$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.12 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked New York Yankees | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 333.2$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4c…b380backed New York Yankees | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 327$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked New York Yankees | 16c | 320.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 320$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.