TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe16e…c3c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,162.31
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,971.73
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,540.26
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000.07
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,714.48
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.66
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.15
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500.05
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,756.01
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,057Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$3,973.35
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,997.79
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.82
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,822Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$5,178.27
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,199.99
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,800.17
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$625.23
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,925Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$4,575
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,549.98
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,990.34
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,925.23
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,205.57
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,322.18
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,199.99
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,574.32
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$7,000.14
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,702.35
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,400.13
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,300.07
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000.1
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,401Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$3,600.72
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,701Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,300.81
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,930.64
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,701Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,300.65
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$5,781.8
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,275
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$7,200
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.42
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,599.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,700.07
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$441.88
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,100.05
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,200.11
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$5,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,698.79
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,349.99
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$875
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$262.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$4,255.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$8,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,453.55
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,753.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,117.91
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,275.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,400.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.