MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x688fc364252fa2059687177955af02b7bfd5a21778b6f8c168dd174ec422ee98

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Philadelphia Philliesof San Diego Padres, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $676,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $763,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,683 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 532 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies	72c	61,258$43,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,316.09	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres	20c	38,320$7,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,525.95	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres	29c	35,270$10,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,374.42	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Philadelphia Phillies	66c	33,134$21,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,265.57	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed San Diego Padres	37c	26,470$9,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,894	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres	22c	24,907$5,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,373.94	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres	34c	22,318$7,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,533.64	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Philadelphia Phillies	63c	20,000$12,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,400	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-4.3wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies	65c	19,001$12,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,650.34	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres	27c	15,887$4,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,320.48	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed San Diego Padres	37c	13,514$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	238	46.6%111 W · 127 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1bf…e36bbacked San Diego Padres	21c	11,655$2,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,469.2	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies	66c	11,084$7,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,768.64	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0f…b9d0backed San Diego Padres	16c	10,742$1,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,725.98	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed San Diego Padres	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300.07	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c5e…39a9backed San Diego Padres	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres	38c	7,895$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed San Diego Padres	33c	7,576$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres	11c	6,671$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.96	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed San Diego Padres	33c	6,568$2,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,167.35	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres	23c	6,225$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.74	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed San Diego Padres	34c	5,988$2,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,035.91	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed San Diego Padres	34c	5,882$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	5,613$3,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,020.66	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres	21c	5,311$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.19	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	65c	5,000$3,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked San Diego Padres	33c	5,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,649.95	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres	0c	4,750$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed San Diego Padres	22c	4,581$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026	66	53%35 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres	33c	4,500$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.98	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Philadelphia Phillies	67c	4,478$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,477.61	407	53.6%218 W · 189 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Philadelphia Phillies	69c	4,430$3,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,359.99	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres	34c	4,075$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,385.61	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed San Diego Padres	36c	4,000$1,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460	241	50.6%122 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies	67c	3,731$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.34	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies	65c	3,713$2,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,301.79	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked San Diego Padres	33c	3,545$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.85	216	44.9%97 W · 119 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Philadelphia Phillies	70c	3,314$2,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.51	400	43%172 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed San Diego Padres	36c	3,300$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Philadelphia Phillies	63c	3,247$2,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,201.55	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres	10c	3,114$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.26	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	66c	3,100$2,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Philadelphia Phillies	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990	517	56.5%292 W · 225 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Philadelphia Phillies	66c	3,000$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.99	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04b…4778backed Philadelphia Phillies	66c	2,827$1,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$961.13	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed San Diego Padres	10c	2,748$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.81	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies	65c	2,711$1,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.7	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies	79c	2,460$1,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.16	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres	36c	2,425$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.94	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres	12c	2,375$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.9	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Philadelphia Phillies	67c	2,251$1,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.79	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3b…cb80backed San Diego Padres	36c	2,230$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.8	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-57%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres	14c	2,190$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.73	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	78c	2,066$1,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.21	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies	67c	2,015$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.93	222	57.2%127 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres	35c	2,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa252…dbf4backed Philadelphia Phillies	78c	2,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	50	70%35 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed San Diego Padres	10c	1,984$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.41	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecd…7788backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	1,974$1,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcaef…65f2backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	1,953$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.08	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7296…aebfbacked Philadelphia Phillies	64c	1,930$1,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked San Diego Padres	9c	1,787$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.41	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb096…aaa9backed San Diego Padres	37c	1,716$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres	34c	1,600$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	1,563$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.5	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Philadelphia Phillies	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.1	204	55.9%114 W · 90 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bee…e2b1backed San Diego Padres	37c	1,501$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked San Diego Padres	29c	1,430$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.83	212	42%89 W · 123 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed San Diego Padres	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	252	47.6%120 W · 132 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa348…8deabacked San Diego Padres	37c	1,372$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed San Diego Padres	37c	1,351$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	98	37.8%37 W · 61 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f79…c5d3backed San Diego Padres	37c	1,302$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Philadelphia Phillies	67c	1,270$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.79	186	58.6%109 W · 77 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	69c	1,268$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.08	462	39.6%183 W · 279 L	-17.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres	34c	1,259$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.94	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked San Diego Padres	15c	1,231$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.6	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Philadelphia Phillies	73c	1,225$899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.76	274	50.7%139 W · 135 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres	37c	1,213$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.09	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed San Diego Padres	37c	1,171$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.62	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Philadelphia Phillies	66c	1,126$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.95	481	47%226 W · 255 L	-31.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked San Diego Padres	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	19%11 W · 47 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed San Diego Padres	9c	1,100$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed San Diego Padres	17c	1,000$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.5	73	21.9%16 W · 57 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	62c	999.97$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.99	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd305…7eaebacked San Diego Padres	4c	967.28$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.99	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x387f…2095backed Philadelphia Phillies	62c	900$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x021d…6502backed San Diego Padres	37c	900$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed San Diego Padres	34c	899.99$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked San Diego Padres	34c	899.59$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.12	377	48.8%184 W · 193 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa0…b86ebacked San Diego Padres	37c	880$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Philadelphia Phillies	68c	850.19$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.06	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc58…1dffbacked San Diego Padres	27c	833.33$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies	66c	800$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres	37c	790$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.4	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Philadelphia Phillies	64c	789.52$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.23	322	51.6%166 W · 156 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres	34c	786.03$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.84	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres	10c	779$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.9	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies	66c	757.58$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.58	432	47%203 W · 229 L	-19.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf786…f700backed Philadelphia Phillies	68c	748.44$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Philadelphia Phillies	63c	744.52$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.19	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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