TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego Padresof Philadelphia Phillies, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres49c3,248$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies54c2,960$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres55c1,304$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.6191252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies49c1,186$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.038,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres72c747.31$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.88,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Philadelphia Phillies22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15087750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Philadelphia Phillies26c415$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.949450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres41c412.84$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies44c356$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.644,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies24c207.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.495,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed San Diego Padres74c199.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres74c191.96$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.342,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked San Diego Padres45c175$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.251,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…73bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies67c167.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed San Diego Padres67c124$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.791,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x012f…6d43backed Philadelphia Phillies16c122.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.616946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres27c117$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.346,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Philadelphia Phillies27c104.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1619546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Philadelphia Phillies26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528639.2%112 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Philadelphia Phillies30c80.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.473,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres32c78.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.251,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres32c78.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.251,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies45c76.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies28c65.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.383,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies40c59.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Philadelphia Phillies53c55.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Philadelphia Phillies26c53.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9759749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Philadelphia Phillies29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.568942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f91…d069backed San Diego Padres74c46.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.141662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked San Diego Padres76c45.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7672655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfb…3640backed San Diego Padres74c42.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed San Diego Padres67c39.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9821055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked San Diego Padres32c39.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6344744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Philadelphia Phillies79c35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6512956.6%73 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…e73abacked San Diego Padres74c34.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb978…8799backed San Diego Padres74c33.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick66cpaid-61.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8263…f888backed San Diego Padres74c33.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4484…eeadbacked San Diego Padres74c32.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.481560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8047…0a8dbacked San Diego Padres74c32.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2120…50c4backed San Diego Padres74c32.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick71cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x291d…d33ebacked San Diego Padres74c32.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.35366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e77…09b8backed San Diego Padres74c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4324…174bbacked San Diego Padres74c31.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.29875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cbe…3bfbbacked San Diego Padres74c31.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.291353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf354…5645backed San Diego Padres74c31.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.291369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7763…125abacked San Diego Padres74c31.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…6544backed San Diego Padres74c31.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97cf…ad38backed San Diego Padres74c31.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e37…ac4abacked San Diego Padres74c31.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8349…abaebacked San Diego Padres74c31.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.111968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked San Diego Padres46c31.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8146952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x291e…2421backed San Diego Padres74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.061154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe9…7c35backed San Diego Padres74c30.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65cf…5206backed San Diego Padres74c30.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.962070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb34d…4219backed San Diego Padres74c30.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0359…2572backed San Diego Padres74c30.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.93650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x440f…b5f5backed San Diego Padres74c30.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick70cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0381…f76cbacked San Diego Padres74c30.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.85955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d8…f4f1backed San Diego Padres74c30.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329b…8b1cbacked San Diego Padres74c30.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.83850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Philadelphia Phillies45c30.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.561,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Diego Padres58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5992…2ad0backed San Diego Padres74c29.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.751566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc815…13b7backed San Diego Padres74c29.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe282…4681backed San Diego Padres74c29.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4725…6253backed San Diego Padres74c29.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.67955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40c1…6fc2backed San Diego Padres74c29.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.641275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…d900backed San Diego Padres74c29.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.591764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4141…b90fbacked San Diego Padres74c29.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.591464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01cd…2dc5backed San Diego Padres74c29.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.57650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95d8…4861backed San Diego Padres74c29.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8772…349ebacked San Diego Padres74c29.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Philadelphia Phillies69c29.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.081,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcc…8e36backed San Diego Padres74c28.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa627…aee0backed San Diego Padres74c28.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick71cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e44…e563backed San Diego Padres74c28.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17c5…fbe1backed San Diego Padres74c28.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.411376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0762…e8c1backed San Diego Padres74c28.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.381662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b0d…1f81backed San Diego Padres74c28.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.381850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb4b…fd62backed San Diego Padres74c28.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x039d…390abacked San Diego Padres74c28.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…e021backed San Diego Padres74c28.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.311163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1bd…35a1backed San Diego Padres74c27.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.151656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1c…fd77backed San Diego Padres74c27.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.151675%12 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda95…34f0backed San Diego Padres74c27.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.11070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a8…8539backed San Diego Padres74c27.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.071172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4da…3261backed San Diego Padres74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d83…3ceabacked San Diego Padres74c25.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.73666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2227…f6dcbacked San Diego Padres74c24.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.451369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1651…ddacbacked San Diego Padres74c24.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked Philadelphia Phillies66c24.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.984235.7%15 W · 27 L-7.8wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-37.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x233c…6996backed San Diego Padres74c22.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.751457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1f…0fdcbacked San Diego Padres74c20.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres72c19.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.514,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…443bbacked San Diego Padres74c19.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.022259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0e…accebacked Philadelphia Phillies70c17.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.95154.9%28 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b09…e0cabacked San Diego Padres74c16.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.37742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba2…db1fbacked San Diego Padres74c14.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.721050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.