MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe281bf17ca73d24d407fd9299030c8d009385bf137946330e66ffd504e02edee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Philadelphia Phillies, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 3,248$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,960$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,304$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.61 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,186$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 747.31$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 415$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 412.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 356$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 207.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 199.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 191.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 175$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…73bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 167.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 124$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…6d43backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 122.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 117$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 104.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 80.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 78.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 78.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 76.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 65.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 59.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 55.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 53.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…d069backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 46.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked San Diego Padres | 76c | 45.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfb…3640backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 42.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 39.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 39.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…e73abacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 34.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…8799backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 33.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 66cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…f888backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 33.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…eeadbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 32.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…0a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 32.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…50c4backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 32.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…d33ebacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 32.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…09b8backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…174bbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 31.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…3bfbbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 31.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf354…5645backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 31.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…125abacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 31.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…6544backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 31.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…ad38backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…ac4abacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 31.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…abaebacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 31.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 31.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…2421backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe9…7c35backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 30.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5206backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 30.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…4219backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 30.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…2572backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 30.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b5f5backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 30.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 70cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0381…f76cbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 30.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…f4f1backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 30.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…8b1cbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 30.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 30.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…2ad0backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 29.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…13b7backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 29.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…4681backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 29.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…6253backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 29.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c1…6fc2backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 29.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…d900backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 29.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…b90fbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 29.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…2dc5backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 29.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…4861backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 29.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…349ebacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 29.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 29.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…8e36backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 28.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa627…aee0backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 28.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e44…e563backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 28.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…fbe1backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 28.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…e8c1backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 28.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…1f81backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 28.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…fd62backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 28.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039d…390abacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 28.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…e021backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 28.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…35a1backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…fd77backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…34f0backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…8539backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 27.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4da…3261backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…3ceabacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 25.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…f6dcbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 24.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…ddacbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 24.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 24.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x233c…6996backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 22.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…0fdcbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…443bbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 19.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 17.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e0cabacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 16.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…db1fbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.