MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd91a81f04d7890dace8be5d0ba9a09a801ba215e4a26681264955b0c429ba6ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 135,706$69,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,528.55 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 99,859$48,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,930.9 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 10,623$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,311.31 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 9,890$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.9 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 9,260$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 7,946$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.34 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 6,904$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.92 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 4,393$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.55 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 4,189$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.24 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 3,128$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.45 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,118$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.77 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,869$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.37 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 2,702$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.16 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,512$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.24 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,107$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 2,065$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.22 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.21 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,000$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,882$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,297$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.48 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,111$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.8 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,026$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.15 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 779.43$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.33 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 773.3$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 714$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 701.99$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 562.23$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 498.96$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.47 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 496.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 182 | 52.2%95 W · 87 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 492$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.68 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 466.04$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.66 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 463.49$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 432.69$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 427.34$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 397.83$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 349.81$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 345.09$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 340$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 301.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 280.01$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 276.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.27 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 239.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 226.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…d020backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…8aa2backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 207.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 199.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 198$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…c584backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…c245backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 166$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 198 | 54.5%108 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 109.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 108.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 549 | 51.2%281 W · 268 L | +29.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked San Diego Padres | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 95.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 94.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…73bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 77.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 70.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.