TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ad8…8a2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+98%+$39.21
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$47.07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$50.77
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$133.93
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.83
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$55
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$49.04
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$62.02
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.83
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$42.14
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.85
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.07
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$62.02
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$80
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$248.11
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+43%+$43.02
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.63
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$70
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.85
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$39.9
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.95
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.68
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.95
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.64
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$194.35
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.64
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.59
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$82.9
Spread: Hornets (-15.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$403.59
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.6
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$31.95
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.05
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tom Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$65.65
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$75.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.63
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$363.16
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$233.13
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$283.97
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$125.94
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.82
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$218.89
All 7 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-69.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+182.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Canelo Alvarez next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.