Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9fbe292e5dae90c6a712aeeff8ec3ab8b0d95192b12dbe3eda168a1874e14b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,426,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,469,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,426,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc67a…f0b6backed Over | 47c | 700,000$331,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368,999.87 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 52c | 508,542$264,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264,441.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Under | 54c | 249,999$134,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,999.47 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 214,443$111,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,632.77 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…4a23backed Over | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…2703backed Over | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 132,366$56,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,403.88 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 115,858$52,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,555.83 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,000 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 53c | 94,247$49,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,950.88 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 53c | 41,411$21,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,947.83 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Over | 48c | 40,566$19,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,905.87 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Over | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,199.92 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…f74bbacked Over | 50c | 38,500$19,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,214.88 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Under | 53c | 37,645$19,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,951.85 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 37,297$21,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,603.74 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 54c | 33,324$18,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,053.53 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 53c | 31,950$16,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,933.5 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 31,225$11,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,789.12 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 49c | 29,717$14,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,227.99 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 28,948$13,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,090.07 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…37f9backed Under | 53c | 27,100$14,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,363 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…5c34backed Under | 53c | 24,491$12,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,980.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.33 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 20,585$10,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,704.17 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 46c | 19,000$8,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,260 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 49c | 15,263$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.99 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a00…159dbacked Under | 51c | 14,706$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…3111backed Under | 69c | 14,493$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Over | 47c | 14,024$6,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,432.88 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 52c | 12,176$6,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,331.45 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 53c | 11,676$6,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,188.32 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Over | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 44c | 10,752$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,054.55 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under | 53c | 10,588$5,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.95 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 52c | 10,579$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…03cbbacked Under | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 53c | 9,785$5,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,186.05 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…ac5abacked Under | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 53c | 9,036$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.08 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 53c | 8,992$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…c387backed Under | 53c | 8,282$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.46 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.98 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 53c | 7,347$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.55 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…1e89backed Over | 47c | 7,197$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.4 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 52c | 6,649$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.54 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Over | 47c | 6,459$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.6 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 36c | 5,963$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.2 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 52c | 5,807$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Under | 52c | 5,664$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.49 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 48c | 5,341$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.51 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…dca8backed Under | 53c | 5,094$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…6504backed Under | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…b8fabacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Under | 52c | 4,750$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 52c | 4,546$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.98 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed Under | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over | 46c | 4,260$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.27 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Over | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea8…9469backed Over | 47c | 4,233$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.16 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 19c | 4,045$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.41 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Under | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Under | 53c | 3,686$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.41 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 3,656$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.78 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Over | 48c | 3,545$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.4 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Under | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 36c | 3,430$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.78 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 46c | 3,356$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Under | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 2,882$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.24 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Under | 37c | 2,868$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.83 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Under | 36c | 2,622$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.78 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…ffc1backed Under | 36c | 2,586$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.47 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.97 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…d5a5backed Over | 46c | 2,433$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.87 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Under | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 2,369$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.96 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Under | 55c | 2,364$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 46c | 2,266$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.65 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Over | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.66 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Over | 46c | 2,180$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.2 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 266 | 44%117 W · 149 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.